Igea Virtus Barcellona vs Athletic Palermo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 21

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Samake B. ,
  • 45', Calafiore C. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Igea Virtus Barcellona
40.4%
Draw
26.9%
Athletic Palermo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.2% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 28.3% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.23)
    3.37
    (3.33)
    2.78
    (2.82)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
    • Igea Virtus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletic Palermo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Igea Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Igea Virtus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Athletic Palermo - Igea Virtus Barcellona 2:2
    Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
    Latest results of Athletic Palermo
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia26148447:252250
    2Igea Virtus261311241:212050
    3Athletic Palermo25146546:291748
    4Reggina26145731:181347
    5Nissa26138533:24947
    6Gelbison26117833:27640
    7Milazzo261151027:28-138
    8Gela261221235:34137
    9Sambiase2699825:21436
    10Vigor Lamezia261051134:25935
    11Enna2579941:39230
    12USD Ragusa26691120:28-827
    13Vibonese26681225:39-1426
    14Sancataldese26661427:37-1024
    15ACR Messina26910723:26-323
    16AS Acireale26591232:44-1223
    17Castrumfavara26561521:38-1721
    18Paterno26451715:53-3817

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation