Result
2:3
11/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group I - Round 19
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 59', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 67', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 3, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Vigor Lamezia 26.3% | Draw 27.8% | Athletic Palermo 45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vigor Lamezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vigor Lamezia's form might have worsened.Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Palermo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigor Lamezia than the current prediction. (+10.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vigor Lamezia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Palermo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.44 ↑ (2.45) |
3.25 ↓ (3.4) |
1.97 ↓ (2.42) |
10.7% (11.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Athletic Palermo will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
- In recent matches, Vigor Lamezia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Athletic Palermo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Vigor Lamezia has had a series of away games.
- Athletic Palermo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Vigor Lamezia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Vigor Lamezia won against Athletic Palermo?
Vigor Lamezia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Palermo won against Vigor Lamezia?
Athletic Palermo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo were as follows:
14.09.2025
Athletic Palermo
-
Vigor Lamezia
2:1
Latest results of Vigor Lamezia
Latest results of Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 33 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 60:29 | 31 | 66 |
| 2 | Nissa | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47:26 | 21 | 64 |
| 3 | Reggina | 33 | 19 | 6 | 8 | 40:21 | 19 | 63 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo ✔ | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 57 |
| 5 | Gelbison ✔ | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 43:32 | 11 | 57 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 36:26 | 10 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 31:35 | -4 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 41:43 | -2 | 43 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 39 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 36:45 | -9 | 37 |
| 12 | Enna | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 48:51 | -3 | 35 |
| 13 | USD Ragusa | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 34 |
| 14 | AS Acireale | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 37:49 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 31:46 | -15 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno ✔ | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 21:68 | -47 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Athletic Palermo is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Gelbison is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs )
Paterno is Relegated to