Igea Virtus Barcellona vs Athletic Palermo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
25/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group I - Round 21

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Samake B. ,
  • 45', Calafiore C. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Igea Virtus Barcellona
40.4%
Draw
26.9%
Athletic Palermo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.7% 27.2% 32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 28.3% 30.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.24
    (2.23)
    3.37
    (3.33)
    2.78
    (2.82)
    10.3%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).
    • Igea Virtus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Athletic Palermo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Igea Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Igea Virtus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo were as follows:
    24.09.2025 Athletic Palermo - Igea Virtus Barcellona 2:2
    Latest results of Igea Virtus Barcellona
    Latest results of Athletic Palermo
    Italian Serie D - Group I Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Savoia31179554:282660
    2Nissa31179543:251860
    3Reggina30166834:191554
    4Athletic Palermo31166953:411254
    5Gelbison31149840:31951
    6Igea Virtus301412445:271849
    7Sambiase311310834:25949
    8Milazzo301271130:32-243
    9Gela311341439:39042
    10Vigor Lamezia301061437:32536
    11Enna308111147:45235
    12USD Ragusa317111322:32-1032
    13AS Acireale317111336:47-1131
    14Castrumfavara31871630:43-1331
    15Vibonese307101327:41-1431
    16ACR Messina3110111025:31-627
    17Sancataldese31761830:45-1527
    18Paterno31472020:63-4319

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
          Relegation