Coritiba vs Athletico Paranaense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

19/10/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estádio Couto Pereira (Curitiba).

Serie B Superbet - Round 33
Referee: Daronco A. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.32	0.74
Ball Possession
41%	59%
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
71% (198/277)	84% (320/381)
Yellow Cards
4	6
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.32	0.74
xG on target (xGOT)
0.05	0.16
Total shots
10	15
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
7	9
Blocked Shots
1	4
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
8	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
18	14
Passes
71% (198/277)	84% (320/381)
Long passes
49% (35/71)	58% (30/52)
Passes in final third
44% (37/84)	76% (105/138)
Crosses
20% (1/5)	26% (8/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.26	0.42
Throw-ins
15	16
Fouls
14	18
Tackles
100% (9/9)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
51	52
Clearances
32	17
Interceptions
5	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.16	0.05
Goals prevented
0.16	0.05

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Arthur Dias 🟨,
16', Bruno Melo 🟨,
26', Bruno Melo 🟨,
31', Clayson ↓, Tiago Coser ↑,
34', Arthur Dias ↓, Madson ↑,
37', Tiago Coser 🟨,
45+3', Leo Derik 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
46', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Lucas Ronier ↑,
46', Zapelli B. 🟨,
56', Gomez S. 🟨,
57', Santos 🟨,
72', Patrick ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
72', Benavidez G. ↓, Fernando ↑,
72', Josue ↓, Zeca ↑,
72', Iury Castilho ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
80', Filipe Machado ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
81', Aguirre Tabares J. F. 🟨,
85', Julimar ↓, Alan Kardec ↑,
87', Viveros K. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Coritiba
40.4%

Draw
31%

Athletico Paranaense
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.2%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.27)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)	3.26 ↑ (3.12)	6.6% (7.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Coritiba will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Coritiba may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Coritiba could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Coritiba: Lucas Ronier (Thigh Injury) Rodrigo Rodrigues (Injury) Wallisson (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Athletico PR: Esquivel L. (Hamstring Injury) Isaac (Inactive) Mendoza S. (Red Card) Renan Peixoto (Knee Injury) Teran C. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Coritiba: de Pena C. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Athletico Paranaense?

Coritiba has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Coritiba?

Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:

25.01.2025 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 0:0

18.02.2024 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 1:1

01.10.2023 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 2:0

14.05.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 3:2

05.02.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 1:1

Latest results of Coritiba

12.10.2025 Cuiabá - Coritiba 1:0 ✺

09.10.2025 Coritiba - Atlético Goianiense 2:1 ✺

03.10.2025 Coritiba - Botafogo SP 2:0 ✺

29.09.2025 Avaí - Coritiba 0:2 ✺

25.09.2025 Coritiba - Criciúma 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Athletico Paranaense

14.10.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Avaí 1:1 ✺

09.10.2025 Remo - Athletico Paranaense 2:1 ✺

05.10.2025 Atlético Goianiense - Athletico Paranaense 3:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Athletic Club - Athletico Paranaense 0:3 ✺

Brazilian Serie B Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coritiba	34	17	9	8	35:21	14	60
2	Remo	34	15	12	7	45:33	12	57
3	Goias	34	15	10	9	39:33	6	55
4	Novorizontino	34	14	13	7	37:28	9	55
5	Chapecoense-SC	33	16	6	11	47:32	15	54
6	Criciuma	34	15	9	10	44:32	12	54
7	CRB	34	15	6	13	41:35	6	51
8	Athletico-PR	33	14	8	11	45:42	3	50
9	Cuiaba	34	13	11	10	41:40	1	50
10	Avai	34	12	12	10	43:36	7	48
11	Atletico GO	34	12	12	10	37:35	2	48
12	Vila Nova FC	33	11	10	12	32:34	-2	43
13	Operario-PR	33	11	9	13	34:37	-3	42
14	America MG	34	11	8	15	37:40	-3	41
15	Ferroviaria	33	8	14	11	38:44	-6	38
16	Athletic Club	34	10	7	17	38:49	-11	37
17	Botafogo SP	34	8	11	15	30:50	-20	35
18	Volta Redonda	34	8	10	16	23:37	-14	34
19	Amazonas	33	7	11	15	33:48	-15	32
20	Paysandu PA	34	5	12	17	31:44	-13	27

Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )