Result
28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.60 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (255/321) | 83% (365/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.60 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (255/321) | 83% (365/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 39% (27/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (69/106) | 54% (37/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (12/24) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 60', Iury Castilho ↓, Clayson ↑,
- 60', Dellatorre ↓, Gustavo Coutinho ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ⚽,
- 67', Giuliano ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 68', Alan Kardec ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
- 75', Habraao ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 77', Gomez S. ↓, Wallisson ↑,
- 77', Filipe Machado ↓, Geovane ↑,
- 82', Patrick ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 83', Luiz Fernando ↓, Tevis ↑,
- 85', Josue ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 87', Joao Cruz 🟨,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
42.7% | Draw
33.2% | Coritiba
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.87) |
2.82 ↓
(3.42) |
3.91 ↓
(4.27) |
6.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Athletico PR will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Coritiba?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Athletico Paranaense?
Coritiba has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba were as follows:
25.01.2025
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:0
18.02.2024
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
01.10.2023
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
14.05.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Coritiba
3:2
05.02.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Coritiba
1:1
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Goias | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Coritiba | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 43 |
| 3 | Chapecoense-SC | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 34:20 | 14 | 40 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30:21 | 9 | 36 |
| 5 | Novorizontino | 23 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 25:21 | 4 | 36 |
| 6 | Remo | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 35 |
| 7 | Vila Nova FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 22:20 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Avai | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:21 | 8 | 33 |
| 9 | Cuiaba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:25 | 0 | 32 |
| 10 | CRB | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 24:22 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Athletico-PR | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Ferroviaria | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23:22 | 1 | 27 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Athletic Club | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 25 |
| 16 | America MG | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 14:24 | -10 | 22 |
| 18 | Botafogo SP | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Paysandu PA | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 21 |
| 20 | Amazonas | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 23:31 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
