Result
2:0
22/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (313/368) | 83% (268/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (313/368) | 83% (268/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (22/45) | 47% (18/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (75/116) | 48% (16/33) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/19) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.16 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Dudu Kogitzki ⚽, Julimar (A),
- 45', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
- 45+6', Breno Lopes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 0, Viveros K. ⚽, Benavidez G. (A),
- 58', Breno Lopes ↓, Lavega J. ↑,
- 58', Lucas Ronier ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 61', Wallisson 🟨,
- 68', Pedro Rocha ↓, Keno ↑,
- 68', Wallisson ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
- 74', Julimar ↓, Chiqueti ↑,
- 74', Esquivel L. ↓, Gilberto Junior ↑,
- 87', Bruno Melo ↓, Felipe Jonatan ↑,
- 87', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Zapelli B. ↑,
- 90+5', Maicon 🟥,
Chances of winning
Athletico Paranaense
49% | Draw
29.1% | Coritiba
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Coritiba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↓
(2.12) |
3.26 ↓
(3.36) |
4.24 ↑
(3.48) |
5.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 0.
- Athletico PR is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Coritiba has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Athletico PR is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Coritiba: Benassi
(Inactive)
Pedro Morisco
(Injury)
Rodrigo Rodrigues
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Teran C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Coritiba: Lucas Crepaldi
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 0.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Coritiba?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Athletico Paranaense?
Coritiba has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba were as follows:
17.01.2026
Athletico Paranaense
-
Coritiba
0:1
19.10.2025
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:0
25.01.2025
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
0:0
18.02.2024
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:1
01.10.2023
Coritiba
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Latest results of Coritiba
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
