Athletico Paranaense vs Coritiba – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba
28/06/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Passes
79% (255/321)83% (365/438)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.610.60
xG on target (xGOT)
0.810.91
Total shots
2010
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
147
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
74
Touches in opposition box
2212
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
915
Passes
79% (255/321)83% (365/438)
Long passes
47% (22/47)39% (27/69)
Passes in final third
65% (69/106)54% (37/68)
Crosses
50% (12/24)56% (5/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.861.01
Throw-ins
2127
Fouls
159
Tackles
83% (15/18)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5246
Clearances
2323
Interceptions
610
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.910.81
Goals prevented
-0.090.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Iury Castilho , Clayson ,
  • 60', Dellatorre , Gustavo Coutinho ,
  • 64', 0 - 1, Gomez S. ,
  • 67', Giuliano , Zapelli B. ,
  • 68', Alan Kardec , Renan Peixoto ,
  • 75', Habraao , Leozinho ,
  • 77', Gomez S. , Wallisson ,
  • 77', Filipe Machado , Geovane ,
  • 82', Patrick , Joao Cruz ,
  • 83', Luiz Fernando , Tevis ,
  • 85', Josue , de Pena C. ,
  • 87', Joao Cruz 🟨,

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
42.7%
Draw
33.2%
Coritiba
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.4% 27.5% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 29.9% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athletico Paranaense's form might have worsened.
  • Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athletico Paranaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (1.87)
    2.82
    (3.42)
    3.91
    (4.27)
    6.6%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Athletico PR will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Coritiba will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4%84.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Athletico PR (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Athletico PR will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Athletico PR won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 1.5:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba were as follows:
    25.01.2025 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 0:0
    18.02.2024 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 1:1
    01.10.2023 Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    14.05.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 3:2
    05.02.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba 1:1
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Coritiba
    22.06.2025 Coritiba - Cuiabá 2:0
    05.06.2025 Botafogo SP - Coritiba 0:0
    31.05.2025 Coritiba - Avaí 2:1
    26.05.2025 Criciúma - Coritiba 0:1
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias20115426:17938
    2Coritiba20115422:14838
    3Novorizontino2098324:17735
    4Chapecoense-SC20103728:20833
    5Remo2079422:19330
    6Criciuma2085723:18529
    7Avai2078527:21629
    8Cuiaba1984722:22028
    9Vila Nova FC2083919:20-127
    10Operario-PR2075822:20226
    11Athletico-PR2075825:27-226
    12CRB2074922:21125
    13Athletic Club19721022:26-423
    14Ferroviaria2058720:22-223
    15Atletico GO1958618:20-223
    16America MG20631121:28-721
    17Volta Redonda1956814:21-721
    18Botafogo SP2056914:28-1421
    19Paysandu PA2049719:22-321
    20Amazonas2048820:27-720

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )