Athletico Paranaense vs Fluminense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense
Result
1:1
01/12/2024 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 36
  • Referee: Claus R. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Furacão Play, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
israelIsraelSport 3
peruPeruL1 Max
portugalPortugalCanal 11
ukraineUkraineSport 2
worldWorldFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.45
Ball Possession
29%71%
Goal Attempts
1616
Shots on Goal
45
Shots off Goal
103
Blocked Shots
28
Free Kicks
1010
Corner Kicks
38
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
2323
Goalkeeper Saves
43
Fouls
1010
Red Cards
11
Yellow Cards
12
Total Passes
244610
Completed Passes
185540
Crosses Completed
24
Interceptions
63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Lucas Belezi , Thiago Heleno (A),
  • 41', Arias J. (Pen),
  • 42', Christian 🟨,
  • 43', Leo Linck 🟥,
  • 45+2', Lima 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', Kaua Elias , Cano G. ,
  • 58', Martinelli , PH Ganso ,
  • 65', 1 - 1, Arias J. , PH Ganso (A),
  • 67', Christian , Canobbio A. ,
  • 71', Nikao , Erick ,
  • 71', Pablo , Emersonn ,
  • 80', Gabriel , Joao Cruz ,
  • 81', Samuel Xavier , Guga ,
  • 88', Serna K. , Fuentes G. ,
  • 89', Lima , Nonato ,
  • 90+3', Cano G. 🟨,
  • 90+5', PH Ganso 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Athletico Paranaense
44.7%
Draw
29.9%
Fluminense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 30.8% 24.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 31.1% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.12
    (2.08)
    3.19
    (3.05)
    3.7
    (3.9)
    5.5%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense?
  • Users Predictions: Athletico Paranaense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 15 and 16).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 1.
    • Recent matches Athletico PR is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Fluminense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Athletico PR will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Fluminense: Ignacio (Injury) Lele (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 27:21 (average 1.4:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:6 (average 1.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense 1:0
    27.08.2023 Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense 2:2
    22.04.2023 Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense 2:0
    03.09.2022 Athletico Paranaense - Fluminense 1:0
    Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
    Latest results of Fluminense
    26.11.2024 Fluminense - Criciúma 0:0
    22.11.2024 Fluminense - Fortaleza 2:2
    01.11.2024 Fluminense - Grêmio 2:2
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruzeiro18114330:111937
    2Flamengo RJ16113230:62436
    3Palmeiras15102319:12732
    4Bahia1685320:13729
    5Mirassol1677227:161128
    6Bragantino1783620:20027
    7Botafogo RJ1675418:10826
    8Fluminense1672718:20-223
    9Sao Paulo1757518:19-122
    10Corinthians1857617:21-422
    11Ceara1663716:16021
    12Internacional1656517:20-321
    13Atletico-MG1555516:16020
    14Gremio1755716:23-720
    15Vitoria1738614:18-417
    16Vasco1643918:23-515
    17Santos1643915:21-615
    18Fortaleza1736818:24-615
    19Juventude15321010:32-2211
    20Sport Recife1606109:25-166

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