Result
3:2
15/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 World | TV Globo Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.54 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 79% | 21% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (633/680) | 72% (132/183) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.01 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.00 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 40 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 93% (633/680) | 72% (132/183) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 49% (20/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 88% (169/193) | 36% (16/44) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 3.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.22 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. ⚽, Zapelli B. (A),
- 9', 1 - 1, Hercules ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
- 15', Savarino J. 🟨,
- 28', Zapelli B. 🟥,
- 37', 2 - 1, Canobbio A. ⚽, Savarino J. (A),
- 45+7', Teran C. ↓, Aguirre F. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Julimar ↓, Jadson ↑,
- 46', Portilla J. ↓, Leo Derik ↑,
- 59', Viveros K. 🟨,
- 73', John Kennedy ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 74', Savarino J. ↓, Soteldo Y. ↑,
- 74', Canobbio A. ↓, Serna K. ↑,
- 74', Guilherme Arana 🟨,
- 75', 2 - 2, Luiz Gustavo ⚽, Esquivel L. (A),
- 84', Hercules ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
- 90', Luiz Gustavo 🟨,
- 90', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Felipinho ↑,
- 90+3', Jadson 🟨,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Guilherme Arana ⚽,
- 90+6', Samuel Xavier ↓, Jemmes ↑,
- 90+9', Esquivel L. ↓, Renan Peixoto ↑,
Chances of winning
Fluminense
54.6% | Draw
26.4% | Athletico Paranaense
19% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.69) |
3.6 ↑
(3.48) |
4.87 ↓
(5) |
5.6%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Fluminense (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fluminense will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Athletico PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Fluminense is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Fluminense: Bernal F.
(Injury)
PH Ganso
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Garcia Castillo A.
(Inactive)
Isaac
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:28. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Fluminense won against Athletico Paranaense?
Fluminense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Fluminense?
Athletico Paranaense has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fluminense - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
01.12.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Fluminense
1:1
22.10.2024
Fluminense
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
27.08.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Fluminense
2:2
22.04.2023
Fluminense
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:0
03.09.2022
Athletico Paranaense
-
Fluminense
1:0
Latest results of Fluminense
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:8 | 9 | 19 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
| 5 | Bahia | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 14 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Gremio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Vasco | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Corinthians | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Internacional | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Atletico-MG | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 | Bragantino | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Chapecoense-SC | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Santos | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 6 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 19 | Remo | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
