Junior Barranquilla vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
08/04/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 1
  • Referee: Ramirez M. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2, ESPN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+, ESPN Premium
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
georgiaGeorgiaSilk Sport 1
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
paraguayParaguayESPN 2, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
spainSpainLaLiga+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.151.81
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
922
Shots on target
35
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
211
Passes
81% (256/316)86% (346/402)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.151.81
xG on target (xGOT)
1.381.46
Total shots
922
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
38
Blocked shots
39
Shots inside the box
57
Shots outside the box
415
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
211
Touches in opposition box
2131
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
15
Free kicks
917
Passes
81% (256/316)86% (346/402)
Long passes
43% (19/44)57% (23/40)
Passes in final third
71% (65/92)83% (149/180)
Crosses
43% (3/7)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.411.01
Throw ins
1825
Fouls
179
Tackles
69% (11/16)33% (6/18)
Duels won
4055
Clearances
3819
Interceptions
42
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
42
xGOT faced
1.461.38
Goals prevented
0.460.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Gutierrez T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 14', Perez K. 🟨,
  • 42', Gutierrez T. 🟨,
  • 44', Arthur Gabriel 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Arthur Gabriel , Khellven ,
  • 46', Mauricio , Sosa R. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Sosa R. , Lopez J. (A),
  • 57', Perez K. , Celis G. ,
  • 58', Gutierrez T. , Paiva G. ,
  • 70', Andreas Pereira , Lucas Evangelista ,
  • 70', Allan Elias , Felipe Anderson ,
  • 71', Chara Y. , Muriel L. ,
  • 71', Rivas J. , Canchimbo J. ,
  • 83', Lopez J. , Luighi ,
  • 83', Paiva G. 🟨,
  • 87', Guerrero J. , Herrera E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Junior Barranquilla
23.4%
Draw
28.6%
Palmeiras
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 28.6% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7% 27.8% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.07
    (3.65)
    3.38
    (3.26)
    2.06
    (2.03)
    2.6%
    (7.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Junior Barranquilla - Palmeiras?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Junior (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Palmeiras will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.03%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Junior (votes: 1 - 50%). Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In recent matches, Junior has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Palmeiras is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Junior may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Palmeiras is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Figueiredo (Injury) Jefte (Inactive) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Piquerez J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Palmeiras: Vitor Roque (Inactive)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:11. (average 0.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Junior won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    05.04.2026 Bahia - Palmeiras 1:2
    02.04.2026 Palmeiras - Grêmio 2:1
    21.03.2026 São Paulo - Palmeiras 0:1
    18.03.2026 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 2:1
    15.03.2026 Palmeiras - Mirassol 1:0
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ22006:156
    2Estudiantes L.P21103:214
    3Ind. Medellin20112:5-31
    4Cusco20021:4-30


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nacional21104:224
    2Coquimbo21103:124
    3Deportes Tolima20111:3-21
    4U. de Deportes20110:2-21


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia22003:126
    2La Guaira20201:102
    3Fluminense20111:2-11
    4Bolivar20111:2-11


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors22005:146
    2U. Catolica21013:303
    3Cruzeiro21012:203
    4Barcelona SC20020:4-40


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians22004:046
    2Platense21012:3-13
    3Penarol20112:3-11
    4Santa Fe20111:3-21


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras21103:214
    2Sporting Cristal21012:203
    3Cerro Porteno21011:103
    4Junior20111:2-11


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito22003:036
    2Mirassol21011:2-13
    3Lanus21011:103
    4Always Ready20020:2-20


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle21103:124
    2Rosario Central21101:014
    3Universidad Central21014:403
    4Libertad Asuncion20021:4-30

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)