Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
97:128
20/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9699
Field goals made
3652
Field goals %
37.5%52.53%
2-point field goals attempts
5864
2-point field goals made
2039
2-point field goals %
34.48%60.94%
3-point field goals attempts
3835
3-point field goals made
1613
3-point field goals %
42.11%37.14%
Free throws attempts
1414
Free throws made
911
Free throws %
64.3%78.6%
Offensive rebounds
1211
Defensive rebounds
3347
Total rebounds
4558
Assists
2631
Blocks
35
Turnovers
129
Steals
48
Personal fouls
1620
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta Hawks
41.6%
Miami Heat
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami Heat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.15)

    1.65
    (1.68)
    3.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 244.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Miami will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 52.1%90.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +3.5, OT - Atlanta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 244, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta Hawks will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:124.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Miami could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Houstan C. (Inactive) Kuminga J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Ribs Injury) Larsson P. (Elbow Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2235:2272. (average 111.8:113.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1001:1016. (average 111.2:112.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    03.02.2026 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 115:127
    26.12.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 111:126
    13.10.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 119:118
    11.07.2025 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 98:105
    18.04.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 114:123
    Latest results of Atlanta Hawks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    09.02.2026 Miami Heat - Utah Jazz 111:115
    08.02.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 101:132
    06.02.2026 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 98:96
    03.02.2026 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 115:127
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7963169422:84740.797
    2San Antonio Spurs ✔ 7960199457:87960.759
    3Denver Nuggets ✔ 7951289619:92440.646
    4Houston Rockets ✔ 7950299072:86820.633
    5Los Angeles Lakers ✔ 7950299189:91130.633
    6Minnesota Timberwolves ✔ 7947329288:90110.595
    7Phoenix Suns ✔ 7943368912:88010.544
    8Los Angeles Clippers ✔ 7941389007:88820.519
    9Portland Trail Blazers ✔ 7940399130:91740.506
    10Golden State Warriors ✔ 7937429067:90860.468
    11New Orleans Pelicans8026549229:95660.325
    12Memphis Grizzlies7925549082:94810.316
    13Dallas Mavericks7925548982:94310.316
    14Utah Jazz8021599388:101010.263
    15Sacramento Kings8021598868:96820.263


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons ✔ 7957229269:86560.722
    2Boston Celtics ✔ 7954259055:84490.684
    3New York Knicks ✔ 7951289229:87190.646
    4Cleveland Cavaliers ✔ 7950299447:91070.633
    5Atlanta Hawks7945349357:91490.570
    6Toronto Raptors7944359041:88410.557
    7Orlando Magic7943369124:91030.544
    8Philadelphia 76ers7943369169:92040.544
    9Charlotte Hornets8043379303:89030.538
    10Miami Heat ✔ 7941389514:93580.519
    11Milwaukee Bucks7931488730:92100.392
    12Chicago Bulls7930499187:95800.380
    13Brooklyn Nets7920598383:91210.253
    14Indiana Pacers7918618881:95420.228
    15Washington Wizards7917628916:98510.215

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    San Antonio Spurs is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Denver Nuggets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Houston Rockets is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles Lakers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota Timberwolves is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Phoenix Suns is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Los Angeles Clippers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Portland Trail Blazers is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Golden State Warriors is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    Detroit Pistons is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Boston Celtics is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York Knicks is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cleveland Cavaliers is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Miami Heat is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )