Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
128:114
09/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8682
Field goals made
4446
Field goals %
51.16%56.1%
2-point field goals attempts
5647
2-point field goals made
3132
2-point field goals %
55.36%68.09%
3-point field goals attempts
3035
3-point field goals made
1314
3-point field goals %
43.33%40%
Free throws attempts
3414
Free throws made
278
Free throws %
79.4%57.1%
Offensive rebounds
106
Defensive rebounds
3028
Total rebounds
4034
Assists
2435
Blocks
24
Turnovers
615
Steals
91
Personal fouls
1525
Technical fouls
11

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Raptors
60.3%
Miami Heat
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 38.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Raptors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Raptors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.53)

    2.44
    (2.5)
    3.6%
    (5.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 236.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Miami will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -5.5, OT - Miami (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Toronto (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 232.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Miami (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:116.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Miami is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Toronto could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Hepburn C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Jovic N. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Mamukelashvili S. (Knee Injury) Murray-Boyles C. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2143:2130. (average 107.2:106.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1100:1034. (average 110:103.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat were as follows:
    07.04.2026 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 121:95
    23.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 91:112
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    21.02.2025 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 111:120
    12.12.2024 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 114:104
    Latest results of Toronto Raptors
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    07.04.2026 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 121:95
    04.04.2026 Miami Heat - Washington Wizards 152:136
    01.04.2026 Miami Heat - Boston Celtics 129:147
    30.03.2026 Miami Heat - Philadelphia 76ers 119:109
    29.03.2026 Indiana Pacers - Miami Heat 135:118
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2