Chicago Fire II vs Atlanta United II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
28/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.472.30
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Passes
79% (357/450)72% (215/299)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
2.472.30
xG on target (xGOT)
1.963.54
Total shots
1311
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
27
Touches in opposition box
3230
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1717
Passes
79% (357/450)72% (215/299)
Long passes
32% (15/47)44% (29/66)
Passes in final third
62% (84/135)61% (60/98)
Crosses
18% (2/11)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.491.52
Throw-ins
2224
Fouls
1717
Tackles
55% (11/20)52% (12/23)
Duels won
4160
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
59
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
3.541.96
Goals prevented
-1.46-0.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Weah P. (Pen),
  • 19', Weah P. 🟨,
  • 26', Poreba D. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 2, Wesseh G. , Weah P. (A),
  • 42', 0 - 3, Weah P. , Wesseh G. (A),
  • 45', 1 - 3, Shokalook J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 57', Poreba D. , Herrera E. ,
  • 61', Weah P. , Neri R. ,
  • 62', Sibrian D. , Torres A. ,
  • 63', 1 - 4, Mazzaferro S. , Wesseh G. (A),
  • 64', Montiel J. , Turdean R. ,
  • 64', Kanyane G. , Berg H. ,
  • 69', Shokalook J. 🟨,
  • 73', Pita S. , Suarez I. ,
  • 75', Shokalook J. , Brody W. ,
  • 75', Nagle C. , Pineda O. ,
  • 80', Armas J. , Ettinger I. ,
  • 80', Wesseh G. , Kovac A. ,
  • 85', 1 - 5, Kovac A. , Suarez I. (A),
  • 88', Neri R. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 5, Turdean R. , Fleming R. (A),

Chances of winning


Chicago Fire II
18.9%
Draw
21.3%
Atlanta United II
59.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 20.8% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 21.3% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire II's form might have worsened.
  • Atlanta United II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlanta United II's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+28.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlanta United II than the current prediction. (-27.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlanta United II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.75
    (1.98)
    6.87
    (4.4)
    2.44
    (2.77)
    -31.5%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
    Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
    • Chicago Fire II is Qualified for MLS Next Pro (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Atlanta United II is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chicago Fire II could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II 2:0
    03.08.2023 Chicago Fire II - Atlanta United II 2:1
    22.04.2023 Atlanta United II - Chicago Fire II 2:0
    Latest results of Atlanta United II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2026

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New England Revolution II422005:210
    2New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    3Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    4Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    5Connecticut FC420027:86
    6Toronto FC II410127:44
    7New York City II301111:63
    8Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2Orlando City B4210110:108
    3Atlanta United 2420117:67
    4Chicago Fire II412014:47
    5Huntsville411028:145
    6Chattanooga410128:104
    7Inter Miami II400225:112
    8Carolina Core300123:51


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Real Monarchs4220012:610
    2San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    3Ventura County412018:77
    4Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    5Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    6Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    7Tacoma Defiance401122:73


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Austin FC II420116:67
    4Minnesota 2420026:76
    5North Texas410125:64
    6Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    7Colorado Rapids 2400134:111


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Crown Legacy4400017:312
    2New England Revolution II422005:210
    3New York Red Bulls II420209:48
    4Columbus Crew 2421017:68
    5Philadelphia Union II421014:38
    6Orlando City B4210110:108
    7Atlanta United 2420117:67
    8Chicago Fire II412014:47
    9Connecticut FC420027:86
    10Huntsville411028:145
    11Toronto FC II410127:44
    12Chattanooga410128:104
    13New York City II301111:63
    14Inter Miami II400225:112
    15Carolina Core300123:51
    16Cincinnati 2400042:80


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1Houston Dynamo 24400013:012
    2St. Louis City 24310012:411
    3Real Monarchs4220012:610
    4San Jose Earthquakes II420119:47
    5Austin FC II420116:67
    6Ventura County412018:77
    7Minnesota 2420026:76
    8Portland Timbers 2411112:66
    9North Texas410125:64
    10Vancouver Whitecaps 2410126:84
    11Los Angeles FC 2401217:104
    12Tacoma Defiance401122:73
    13Sporting Kansas City II401032:122
    14Colorado Rapids 2400134:111

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