Result
1:1
19/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Claro Sports, Fox Sports, Hi! Sports, TVC Deportes |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45', Villanueva C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Esparza S. ↓, Garcia U. ↑,
- 59', Cervantes D. ↓, Aguayo S. ↑,
- 64', Ledesma Hurtado L. E. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
- 66', 0 - 1, Duran R. ⚽,
- 67', Duran R. ↓, Jimenez E. ↑,
- 80', Torres C. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 80', Sanchez B. ↓, Rodriguez Vazquez B. ↑,
- 81', Gonzalez R. ↓, Mejia L. ↑,
- 81', Ibarra J. ↓, Espinoza E. ↑,
- 88', Escobar A. ↓, Elbis ↑,
- 88', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
- 90+5', Cantu E. 🟨,
- 90+7', 1 - 1, Aguayo S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tapatío
28.6% | Draw
26.8% | Atlante
44.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tapatío's performance.Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tapatío that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tapatío - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.28 ↓
(3.95) |
3.5 ↓
(3.65) |
2.1 ↑
(1.79) |
6.6%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tapatío - Atlante?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Atlante will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tapatío: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 0.
- Tapatío is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Atlante is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Tapatío could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Atlante is a favorite.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15:24 (average 1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.6:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Atlante?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Tapatío?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tapatío - Atlante were as follows:
04.10.2024
Atlante
-
Tapatío
1:1
05.05.2024
Atlante
-
Tapatío
5:1
02.05.2024
Tapatío
-
Atlante
0:3
02.04.2024
Tapatío
-
Atlante
0:0
30.09.2023
Atlante
-
Tapatío
1:1
Latest results of Tapatío
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Irapuato | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Tapatio | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Cancun | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Atlante | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Morelia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Correcaminos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Zacatecas Mineros | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Leones Negros | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Atletico La Paz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Venados | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
