Atlante vs Venados – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
18/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoHi! Sports

Match Stats

Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
161
Shots on target
100
Corner Kicks
42
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Total shots
161
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
61
Corner Kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟨,
  • 39', Delgado A. 🟨,
  • 39', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Galvan P. , Grijalva A. ,
  • 51', 1 - 0, Cruz D. , Garcia Pardo M. (A),
  • 61', Gonzalez S. , Coubert R. ,
  • 63', 2 - 0, Meza H. , Carrera J. N. (A),
  • 70', Calzadilla L. , Bermudez C. ,
  • 70', Ibarra J. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 70', Cruz D. , Cantu E. ,
  • 74', Guzman W. , Miranda J. ,
  • 74', Calero J. , Acosta C. ,
  • 75', Vidrio N. , Lopez F. ,
  • 75', Garcia Pardo M. , Garcia M. ,
  • 79', Madrid W. , Navarrete D. ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Carrera J. N. , Reyes F. (A),

Chances of winning


Atlante
68.4%
Draw
18.7%
Venados
12.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 20.2% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2% 19.2% 14.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Venados has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venados than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Atlante - Venados Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.37
    (1.42)
    5.01
    (4.56)
    7.26
    (6.21)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 2.
    • Atlante has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Venados is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlante is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Atlante will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Venados were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Venados - Atlante 1:1
    16.08.2024 Atlante - Venados 1:0
    27.02.2024 Venados - Atlante 1:0
    21.09.2023 Atlante - Venados 2:0
    08.03.2023 Venados - Atlante 1:1
    Latest results of Atlante
    11.10.2025 Dorados - Atlante 0:0
    04.10.2025 Atlante - Tlaxcala 3:0
    Latest results of Venados
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Morelia751111:3816
    2Tepatitlan de Morelos84318:4415
    3Tapatio742116:10614
    4Tlaxcala741211:9213
    5Cancun731310:8210
    6Atlante723210:739
    7Atletico La Paz62318:539
    8Irapuato730413:14-19
    9Alebrijes Oaxaca72329:10-19
    10Venados822416:17-18
    11Zacatecas Mineros72239:10-18
    12Leones Negros71338:13-56
    13Jaiba Brava62045:10-56
    14Correcaminos71336:12-66
    15Dorados de Sinaloa813411:19-86

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)