Result
27/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Venados 21.7% | Draw 23.6% | Atlante 54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Venados have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Venados - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.22 ↓ (4.3) |
3.89 ↓ (4.04) |
1.67 ↓ (1.69) |
9.2% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
- Venados is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlante is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlante is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Atlante?
Venados has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Venados?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Atlante were as follows:
18.10.2025
Atlante
-
Venados
3:0
02.02.2025
Venados
-
Atlante
1:1
16.08.2024
Atlante
-
Venados
1:0
27.02.2024
Venados
-
Atlante
1:0
21.09.2023
Atlante
-
Venados
2:0
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 3 | Atl. Morelia | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Tapatio | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 17 |
| 5 | Atlante | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 16 |
| 6 | Cancun | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 14 |
| 9 | Irapuato | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 22:20 | 2 | 13 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Correcaminos | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:23 | -8 | 12 |
| 13 | Venados | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 7 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)