Result
 
                    3:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        18/10/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Hi! Sports | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 65% | 35% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 1 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 0 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 16 | 1 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 10 | 0 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟨, 
- 39', Delgado A. 🟨, 
- 39', Trejo Castro M. A. 🟥, 
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Galvan P. ↓, Grijalva A. ↑, 
- 51', 1 - 0, Cruz D. ⚽, Garcia Pardo M. (A), 
- 61', Gonzalez S. ↓, Coubert R. ↑, 
- 63', 2 - 0, Meza H. ⚽, Carrera J. N. (A), 
- 70', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑, 
- 70', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑, 
- 70', Cruz D. ↓, Cantu E. ↑, 
- 74', Guzman W. ↓, Miranda J. ↑, 
- 74', Calero J. ↓, Acosta C. ↑, 
- 75', Vidrio N. ↓, Lopez F. ↑, 
- 75', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Garcia M. ↑, 
- 79', Madrid W. ↓, Navarrete D. ↑, 
- 84', 3 - 0, Carrera J. N. ⚽, Reyes F. (A), 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Atlante 68.4%
 | Draw 18.7%
 | Venados 12.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Atlante - Venados Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 1.37 ↓ (1.42)
 | 5.01 ↑ (4.56)
 | 7.26 ↑ (6.21)
 | 6.9% (8.3%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 2.
- Atlante has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Venados is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Atlante may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlante is the team to beat.
- We predict that Atlante will win today's game, with odds of 1.51.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 1:0.4).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Venados?
                    
                    
                        
                            Atlante has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Atlante?
                    
                    
                        
                             Venados has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Venados were as follows:
                                                        
                                02.02.2025 
                                Venados 
                                - 
                                Atlante 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                16.08.2024 
                                Atlante 
                                - 
                                Venados 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                27.02.2024 
                                Venados 
                                - 
                                Atlante 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                21.09.2023 
                                Atlante 
                                - 
                                Venados 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.03.2023 
                                Venados 
                                - 
                                Atlante 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Atlante                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Venados                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 | 
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 | 
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 | 
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 | 
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 | 
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 | 
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 | 
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 | 
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 | 
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 | 
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 | 
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | 
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 | 
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 | 
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 | 
      Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)