Result
2:0
20/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 2', 1 - 0, Reyes J. ⚽,
- 9', 2 - 0, Samano Salgado F. ⚽,
- 36', Aguilar D. 🟨,
- 45+2', Torres D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Navarrete D. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
- 46', Lora S. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 60', Torres Sauri M. 🟥,
- 67', Benitez S. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 67', Cruz J. ↓, Derbez L. ↑,
- 73', Samano Salgado F. 🟨,
- 74', Aguilar D. ↓, Escoto A. ↑,
- 82', Islas O. ↓, Samano L. ↑,
- 82', Ruiz A. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
- 82', Calero J. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 89', Reyes J. ↓, Talavera J. ↑,
- 89', Guzman W. ↓, De La Torre K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tepatitlán de Morelos
59.4% | Draw
22.1% | Venados
18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.51) |
4.16 ↓
(4.4) |
5 ↓
(5.46) |
8.6%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 0.
- Recent performances by Tepatitlán have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Venados's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Tepatitlán may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Tepatitlán is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:22. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tepatitlán de Morelos won against Venados?
Tepatitlán de Morelos has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Tepatitlán de Morelos?
Venados has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tepatitlán de Morelos - Venados were as follows:
10.10.2025
Venados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:0
10.01.2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Venados
2:2
26.07.2024
Venados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1:1
18.01.2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
-
Venados
0:5
27.09.2023
Venados
-
Tepatitlán de Morelos
5:1
Latest results of Tepatitlán de Morelos
Latest results of Venados
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
