Result
4:1
27/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 12
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 2', Galvan P. 🟨,
- 5', Tejeda D. 🟨,
- 6', Meza H. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Puente L. ⚽,
- 12', Beltran R. 🟨,
- 15', 1 - 1, Calero J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 33', 2 - 1, Lora S. ⚽, Navarrete D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Martinez J. ↓, Salcido J. ↑,
- 51', 3 - 1, Calero J. ⚽,
- 59', 4 - 1, Calero J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Navarrete D. 🟨,
- 61', Ibarra J. 🟨,
- 62', Gonzalez R. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 62', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 64', Navarrete D. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
- 70', Pizzuto E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 73', Benitez S. ↓, Ballesteros O. ↑,
- 81', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
- 81', Ibarra J. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
- 86', Lora S. ↓, Lopez C. ↑,
- 90+3', Ballesteros O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Venados
24.1% | Draw
24.6% | Atlante
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venados than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+6.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Venados - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.82 ↓
(4.3) |
3.76 ↓
(4.04) |
1.8 ↑
(1.69) |
8.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Venados - Atlante?
Users Predictions:
Atlante will win
(3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venados won 1.
- Recent form of Venados has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Venados may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlante is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Venados won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 0.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venados won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Venados won against Atlante?
Venados has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Venados?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venados - Atlante were as follows:
18.10.2025
Atlante
-
Venados
3:0
02.02.2025
Venados
-
Atlante
1:1
16.08.2024
Atlante
-
Venados
1:0
27.02.2024
Venados
-
Atlante
1:0
21.09.2023
Atlante
-
Venados
2:0
Latest results of Venados
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
