Result
2:0
17/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Armenta J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (291/355) | 85% (450/528) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (291/355) | 85% (450/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (27/49) | 47% (25/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (55/81) | 63% (69/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (7/25) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.05 | 1.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro Galvao (Pen),
- 43', 2 - 0, Macias O. ⚽, Sanabria J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Macias O. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
- 56', Gonzalez D. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
- 56', Ramirez A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 71', Djurdjevic U. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
- 71', Hernandez S. ↓, del Prete G. ↑,
- 76', Garcia M. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 84', Perez S. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
- 86', Mora A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+3', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
51% | Draw
24.8% | Atlas
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Atlético San Luis - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86
(1.86) |
3.79 ↑
(3.77) |
3.87 ↑
(3.78) |
5.9%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
Atlético San Luis will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 2.
- Atlético San Luis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Atlético San Luis is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe
(Muscle Injury)
Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Lozano J.
(Muscle Injury)
Ortega E.
(Suspended)
Pier R.
(Muscle Injury)
Rios De Alba V. H.
(Muscle Injury)
Rocha A.
(Muscle Injury)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:19. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Atlas?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Atlético San Luis?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Atlas were as follows:
02.03.2025
Atlas
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
30.08.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Atlas
2:1
14.04.2024
Atlas
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
03.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Atlas
2:0
11.09.2022
Atlas
-
Atlético San Luis
1:3
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
