Result
3:2
21/02/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (336/411) | 72% (173/241) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 1.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.61 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (336/411) | 72% (173/241) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 41% (20/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/102) | 61% (39/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 50% (2/4) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Medina J. (A),
- 25', Gustavo Ferrareis 🟨,
- 33', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,
- 41', 0 - 2, Aguila E. ⚽, Munoz S. (A),
- 44', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 45+3', Torres R. 🟨,
- 45+8', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
- 45+9', 1 - 2, Gonzalez D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Lucas Esteves ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 59', 2 - 2, Aguirre E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 64', Munoz S. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 64', Flores L. ↓, Duarte A. ↑,
- 65', Joao Pedro Galvao 🟨,
- 70', Zaldivar E. ↓, Ramirez P. ↑,
- 70', Aguirre E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 76', Meraz R. 🟨,
- 80', Torres R. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 83', Aguila E. 🟥,
- 83', 3 - 2, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Schlegel R. (A),
- 84', Aguirre G. ↓, Gamboa L. ↑,
- 85', Galindo B. ↓, Robson Bambu ↑,
- 90', Gonzalez D. ↓, Rios De Alba V. H. ↑,
- 90', Hernandez S. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
- 90+1', Ramirez P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlas
39.4% | Draw
29.3% | Atlético San Luis
31.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlas's performance.Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlas - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.73) |
3.2 ↑
(3.17) |
3.01 ↑
(2.46) |
6.2%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlas - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atlas: Ortega E.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
Macias O.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Serrato J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Lucas Esteves
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against Atlético San Luis?
Atlas has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Atlas?
Atlético San Luis has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlas - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
17.10.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Atlas
2:0
02.03.2025
Atlas
-
Atlético San Luis
3:1
30.08.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Atlas
2:1
14.04.2024
Atlas
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
03.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Atlas
2:0
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
