Querétaro vs Atlas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:3
17/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 5
  • Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.16
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
13
Passes
86% (384/446)83% (335/405)
Yellow Cards
50
Expected Goals (xG)
1.522.16
xG on target (xGOT)
2.142.96
Total shots
1114
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
712
Shots outside the Box
42
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
13
Touches in opposition box
1320
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
86% (384/446)83% (335/405)
Long passes
49% (27/55)44% (26/59)
Passes in final third
59% (54/91)53% (44/83)
Crosses
30% (6/20)62% (8/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.56
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1812
Tackles
46% (6/13)57% (8/14)
Duels won
3645
Clearances
1327
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
2.962.14
Goals prevented
-0.04-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', 0 - 1, del Prete G. , Pier R. (A),
  • 20', Homenchenko S. 🟨,
  • 27', Manzanarez O. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Allison G. 🟨,
  • 45+5', del Prete G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 2)
  • 46', Partida E. , Rodriguez L. ,
  • 46', Venegas F. , Perlaza J. ,
  • 46', Homenchenko S. , Bogarin R. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Barrera P. (Pen),
  • 60', Barrera P. 🟨,
  • 63', del Prete G. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 67', Armenta E. , Jhojan Julio ,
  • 69', 1 - 2, Djurdjevic U. , Vargas C. (A),
  • 71', Avila A. 🟨,
  • 73', Villanueva C. 🟨,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Mora A. , Gonzalez D. (A),
  • 83', Djurdjevic U. , Coccaro M. ,
  • 85', Avila A. , Garcia C. ,
  • 90+2', Gustavo Ferrareis , Orrantia C. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Bogarin R. , Barrera P. (A),
  • 90+8', 3 - 3, Rodriguez L. , Jhojan Julio (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Querétaro
26.8%
Draw
28.7%
Atlas
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.9% 28.7% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 28% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Querétaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Atlas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Querétaro than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Querétaro - Atlas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.05)
    3.43
    (3.28)
    2.17
    (2.33)
    1.9%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Querétaro - Atlas?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Atlas (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Querétaro (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Atlas (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Atlas (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlas will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Querétaro (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Atlas (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 2.
    • Both teams have gone through a run of bad results.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Atlas could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlas: Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Querétaro: Hernandez J. (Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlas: Mora A. (Injury) Ramirez P. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Querétaro won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 21:31. (average 1.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Querétaro won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Querétaro - Atlas were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Querétaro - Atlas 1:2
    20.09.2024 Atlas - Querétaro 0:1
    31.03.2024 Atlas - Querétaro 2:3
    30.08.2023 Querétaro - Atlas 1:2
    22.01.2023 Querétaro - Atlas 3:3
    Latest results of Querétaro
    Latest results of Atlas
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    06.08.2025 Atlanta United - Atlas 4:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    30.07.2025 Inter Miami - Atlas 2:1
    26.07.2025 Monterrey - Atlas 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Guadalajara Chivas760112:6618
    2Cruz Azul751113:8516
    3UNAM Pumas743014:6815
    4Toluca74309:2715
    5Pachuca74219:5414
    6Atlas74129:9013
    7Club America73227:3411
    8Tigres UANL731311:8310
    9Monterrey731310:7310
    10Necaxa73049:11-29
    11Club Tijuana71516:608
    12Atl. San Luis721412:13-17
    13Club Leon72147:10-37
    14Queretaro61235:8-35
    15Puebla71244:10-65
    16Juarez61148:12-44
    17Mazatlan FC71157:14-74
    18Santos Laguna70167:21-141

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)