Result
1:1
18/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Referee: Garcia Mendoza K. I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Claro Sports, VIX, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | Pluto TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.16 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (174/247) | 89% (562/630) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 5 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (174/247) | 89% (562/630) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 22% (12/55) | 57% (26/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (29/57) | 76% (141/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 15% (7/48) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.98 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.02 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Badaloni T. ⚽, Leyva D. (A),
- 43', Leyva D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Joaquim ↓, Correa A. ↑,
- 55', Almendra A. E. ↓, Rosero K. ↑,
- 56', Flores M. ↓, Lainez D. ↑,
- 67', Araujo C. ↓, Aguirre R. ↑,
- 67', Reyes F. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
- 76', Ruiz J. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
- 76', Herrera O. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 82', Monreal R. 🟨,
- 82', Aguirre R. 🟨,
- 84', Monreal R. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 84', Mendez F. ↓, Lara E. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 1, Correa A. ⚽, Aguirre R. (A),
Chances of winning
Necaxa
24.9% | Draw
27.2% | Tigres UANL
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Necaxa - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.75 ↑
(3.38) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
1.97 ↓
(2.05) |
6.4%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Necaxa - Tigres UANL?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tigres UANL will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tigres is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tigres UANL?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Necaxa?
Tigres UANL has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Tigres UANL were as follows:
17.10.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
5:3
11.05.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
2:2
08.05.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
01.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
1:2
06.07.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
1:0
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | UNAM Pumas (1) | Club America (8) | 3 : 3 |
| 2 | Pachuca (4) | Toluca (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas (2) | Tigres UANL (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul (3) | Atlas (6) | 3 : 2 |
