UNAM vs Atlas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX UNAM - Atlas
Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.29
Ball Possession
69%31%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
87% (429/491)70% (164/234)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
1.790.29
xG on target (xGOT)
0.750.10
Total shots
196
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
73
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
133
Shots outside the Box
63
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
245
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
86
Passes
87% (429/491)70% (164/234)
Long passes
51% (25/49)38% (21/56)
Passes in final third
76% (112/147)35% (14/40)
Crosses
26% (8/31)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
1.250.07
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
78
Tackles
69% (9/13)67% (10/15)
Duels won
3738
Clearances
1223
Interceptions
510
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.100.75
Goals prevented
0.10-0.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 12', Lozano J. 🟨,
  • 37', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
  • 45+8', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 64', del Prete G. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 67', Medina A. , Macias J. ,
  • 74', Carrasquilla A. , Ramsey A. ,
  • 82', Bennevendo P. , Lopez R. ,
  • 83', Gonzalez D. , Orrantia C. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. , Lopez R. (A),
  • 90+3', Ramsey A. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Aguirre G. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Ramirez P. , Coccaro M. ,

Chances of winning


UNAM
56.7%
Draw
24.8%
Atlas
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.9% 20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 25.4% 20.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • UNAM - Atlas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.75)
    3.75
    (3.6)
    5
    (4.5)
    6.9%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for UNAM - Atlas?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 46.1%91.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
    • UNAM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, UNAM is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in UNAM: Duarte R. (Yellow Cards) Lopez S. (Finger Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E. (Muscle Injury) Cruz C. (Knee Injury) Manotas M. (Knee Injury) Rocha A. (Red Card) Zaldivar E. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in UNAM: Caicedo J. (Muscle Injury) Lara P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlas: Ramirez P. (Muscle Injury) Rodriguez J. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Atlas were as follows:
    26.01.2025 UNAM - Atlas 0:0
    24.08.2024 Atlas - UNAM 2:1
    14.02.2024 Atlas - UNAM 0:0
    05.11.2023 UNAM - Atlas 3:0
    05.02.2023 UNAM - Atlas 2:2
    Latest results of UNAM
    24.08.2025 UNAM - Puebla 0:0
    16.08.2025 Toluca - UNAM 1:1
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    06.08.2025 Inter Miami - UNAM 3:1
    02.08.2025 UNAM - Atlanta United 3:2
    Latest results of Atlas
    24.08.2025 Atlas - Club América 2:4
    17.08.2025 Querétaro - Atlas 3:3
    09.08.2025 Atlas - Pachuca 0:3
    06.08.2025 Atlanta United - Atlas 4:1
    02.08.2025 Orlando City - Atlas 3:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1181231:141725
    2Monterrey1181223:17625
    3Club America1173123:111224
    4Cruz Azul1073021:12924
    5Tigres UANL1054119:91019
    6Juarez1153315:12318
    7Pachuca1152415:13217
    8Club Tijuana1044219:11816
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Club Leon1133510:18-812
    12Atl. San Luis1131716:18-210
    13Santos Laguna1131713:18-510
    14Atlas1124518:26-810
    15Necaxa1123611:20-99
    16Mazatlan FC1115513:20-78
    17Queretaro1022611:18-78
    18Puebla111289:26-175

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