Result
1:0
31/08/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Molina Astorga M. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 69% | 31% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (429/491) | 70% (164/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 0.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (429/491) | 70% (164/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (25/49) | 38% (21/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (112/147) | 35% (14/40) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 0.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 0.75 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Lozano J. 🟨,
- 37', Rios De Alba V. H. 🟨,
- 45+8', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 64', del Prete G. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 67', Medina A. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 74', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Ramsey A. ↑,
- 82', Bennevendo P. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
- 83', Gonzalez D. ↓, Orrantia C. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 0, Ramsey A. ⚽, Lopez R. (A),
- 90+3', Ramsey A. 🟨,
- 90+3', Aguirre G. 🟨,
- 90+6', Ramirez P. ↓, Coccaro M. ↑,
Chances of winning
UNAM
56.7% | Draw
24.8% | Atlas
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UNAM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Atlas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlas than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
UNAM - Atlas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.75) |
3.75 ↑
(3.6) |
5 ↑
(4.5) |
6.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for UNAM - Atlas?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. UNAM will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for UNAM: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. UNAM (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 1.
- UNAM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Atlas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, UNAM is the team to beat.
- There will not play in UNAM: Duarte R.
(Yellow Cards)
Lopez S.
(Finger Injury)
- There will not play in Atlas: Aguirre E.
(Muscle Injury)
Cruz C.
(Knee Injury)
Manotas M.
(Knee Injury)
Rocha A.
(Red Card)
Zaldivar E.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in UNAM: Caicedo J.
(Muscle Injury)
Lara P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlas: Ramirez P.
(Muscle Injury)
Rodriguez J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNAM won 7 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, UNAM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has UNAM won against Atlas?
UNAM has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlas won against UNAM?
Atlas has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between UNAM - Atlas were as follows:
26.01.2025
UNAM
-
Atlas
0:0
24.08.2024
Atlas
-
UNAM
2:1
14.02.2024
Atlas
-
UNAM
0:0
05.11.2023
UNAM
-
Atlas
3:0
05.02.2023
UNAM
-
Atlas
2:2
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 24:16 | 8 | 28 |
| 3 | Club America | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 27:13 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 26:20 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 27:13 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | Pachuca | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 26:17 | 9 | 20 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 20 |
| 9 | Juarez | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 14 |
| 11 | Atl. San Luis | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 19:20 | -1 | 13 |
| 12 | Santos Laguna | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Atlas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 13 |
| 14 | Club Leon | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 12 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Queretaro | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 14:25 | -11 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14:26 | -12 | 9 |
| 18 | Puebla | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:32 | -18 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
