Atlètic Lleida vs Ourense CF – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:4 penalties
15/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Federacion - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 3)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Bouzaig A. ,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Garros B. ,
  • 63', 2 - 1, Garros B. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Ramos J. ,
  • 68', 2 - 3, Ouhdadi O. ,
  • 90+7', 3 - 3, Mas C. ,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 107', Carmona F. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Arnau M. (Pen),
  • 1, Ramos J. (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Atlètic Lleida
26.3%
Draw
28.6%
Ourense CF
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 28.3% 47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7% 27.2% 48.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlètic Lleida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlètic Lleida than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
  • Atlètic Lleida - Ourense CF Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (3.68)
    3.14
    (3.2)
    1.99
    (1.93)
    11.4%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Atlètic Lleida - Ourense CF?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlètic Lleida (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Atlètic Lleida may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of away games.
    • Ourense CF could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Atlètic Lleida
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    04.10.2025 Ferrol - Ourense CF 1:1
    01.10.2025 Bergantiños - Ourense CF 0:2
    27.09.2025 Ourense CF - Pontevedra 1:2
    21.09.2025 Tenerife - Ourense CF 3:0
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Atletic LleidaTudelano1 : 0
    2FormenteraSD Ibiza1 : 0
    3TerrassaAtletico Monzon4 : 0
    4EjeaUE Tona2 : 0
    5BergantinosMarino de Luanco4 : 2
    6EstradenseCovadonga2 : 1
    7LaredoOurense CF1 : 5
    8ZamoraAmorebieta4 : 1
    9VareaMoralo2 : 0
    10San Sebastian ReyesAlfaro1 : 0
    11Laguna TenerifeToledo1 : 2
    12JaraizCD Coria2 : 3
    13Deportiva MineraMelilla3 : 0
    14MolinenseXerez CD2 : 0
    15Ceuta 6 de JunioOrihuela2 : 5
    16Huetor TajarBollullos2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Atletic LleidaFormentera6 : 1
    2TerrassaEjea0 : 1
    3BergantinosEstradense2 : 1
    4Ourense CFZamora2 : 1
    5VareaSan Sebastian Reyes1 : 2
    6ToledoCD Coria1 : 0
    7Deportiva MineraMolinense3 : 0
    8OrihuelaHuetor Tajar3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Atletic LleidaEjea2 : 1
    2BergantinosOurense CF0 : 2
    3San Sebastian ReyesToledo0 : 1
    4Deportiva MineraOrihuela0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Atletic LleidaOurense CF3 : 4
    2ToledoOrihuela2 : 4

    Final
    1Ourense CFOrihuela3 : 0