Ourense CF vs Ferrol – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, TVG 2

Match Stats

Ball possession
50%50%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
73
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
98
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
44
Corner kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', Jelbat A. 🟨,
  • 17', Moreno C. 🟨,
  • 19', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ,
  • 45+2', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Coto E. ,
  • 57', Moreno C. , Yuste A. ,
  • 69', Munoz D. , Bouzaig A. ,
  • 69', Ochoa M. , Punzano I. ,
  • 78', Guerrero A. , Rivas L. ,
  • 86', Gimenez A. , Tavares M. ,
  • 86', Tejera S. , Gorostidi A. ,

Chances of winning


Ourense CF
36%
Draw
31%
Ferrol
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.6% 30% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2% 30.5% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Ourense CF - Ferrol Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.49)
    2.96
    (3.04)
    2.81
    (2.73)
    8.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Ferrol were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Ferrol - Ourense CF 1:1
    27.07.2024 Ourense CF - Ferrol 1:0
    Latest results of Ourense CF
    Latest results of Ferrol
    08.03.2026 Ferrol - Cacereño 3:1
    20.02.2026 Ferrol - Celta de Vigo B 1:2
    14.02.2026 Tenerife - Ferrol 0:1
    07.02.2026 Ferrol - Lugo 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife ✔ 352110457:203773
    2Celta Vigo B ✔ 351710856:441261
    3Zamora351610949:381158
    4Real Madrid B351681155:431256
    5Pontevedra351315743:261754
    6Ponferradina351491238:32651
    7Barakaldo3513121044:36851
    8Unionistas3513101247:45249
    9Lugo3512131034:37-349
    10AD Merida351391344:49-548
    11Racing Club Ferrol351381438:43-547
    12Arenas Getxo351451641:51-1047
    13Ath Bilbao B3512101336:40-446
    14Real Aviles3511101451:58-743
    15Ourense CF359121440:42-239
    16CF Talavera351091635:44-939
    17Cacereno358141335:45-1038
    18Guadalajara359101639:54-1537
    19Osasuna B35991725:39-1436
    20Arenteiro35692029:50-2127

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
    Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1