Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+, TVG 2 |
Match Stats
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| Ball possession |
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| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
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| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
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| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
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| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', Jelbat A. 🟨,
- 17', Moreno C. 🟨,
- 19', 0 - 1, Gimenez A. ⚽,
- 45+2', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 1 - 1, Coto E. ⚽,
- 57', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
- 69', Munoz D. ↓, Bouzaig A. ↑,
- 69', Ochoa M. ↓, Punzano I. ↑,
- 78', Guerrero A. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
- 86', Gimenez A. ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 86', Tejera S. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ourense CF 36% | Draw 31% | Ferrol 33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Ourense CF - Ferrol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.57 ↑ (2.49) |
2.96 ↓ (3.04) |
2.81 ↑ (2.73) |
8.4% (9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ourense CF won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ourense CF won against Ferrol?
Ourense CF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferrol won against Ourense CF?
Ferrol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ourense CF - Ferrol were as follows:
04.10.2025
Ferrol
-
Ourense CF
1:1
27.07.2024
Ourense CF
-
Ferrol
1:0
Latest results of Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife ✔ | 35 | 21 | 10 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B ✔ | 35 | 17 | 10 | 8 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | Zamora | 35 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 58 |
| 4 | Real Madrid B | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 5 | Pontevedra | 35 | 13 | 15 | 7 | 43:26 | 17 | 54 |
| 6 | Ponferradina | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 38:32 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | Barakaldo | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 51 |
| 8 | Unionistas | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47:45 | 2 | 49 |
| 9 | Lugo | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 34:37 | -3 | 49 |
| 10 | AD Merida | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 44:49 | -5 | 48 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 47 |
| 12 | Arenas Getxo | 35 | 14 | 5 | 16 | 41:51 | -10 | 47 |
| 13 | Ath Bilbao B | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 36:40 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 51:58 | -7 | 43 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 40:42 | -2 | 39 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 35 | 10 | 9 | 16 | 35:44 | -9 | 39 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 35:45 | -10 | 38 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 39:54 | -15 | 37 |
| 19 | Osasuna B | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 25:39 | -14 | 36 |
| 20 | Arenteiro | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tenerife is Confirmed as championsnQualified for LaLiga2
Celta Vigo B is Qualified for Primera RFEF ~ Group 1