Atletico Ascoli vs Recanatese – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group F Atletico Ascoli - Recanatese
Result
2:0
19/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group F - Round 8

Match Stats

Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Coppola F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 48', 🟥,
  • 50', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Atletico Ascoli
57%
Draw
26%
Recanatese
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 27.4% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 26.2% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atletico Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atletico Ascoli's performance.
  • Recanatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Recanatese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atletico Ascoli than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atletico Ascoli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Recanatese than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Recanatese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atletico Ascoli - Recanatese Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.77
    (2.01)
    3.89
    (3.35)
    5.94
    (3.4)
    -1.1%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
    • Atletico Ascoli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Recanatese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recanatese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Atletico Ascoli has had a series of away games.
    • Atletico Ascoli will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Atletico Ascoli won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Ascoli - Recanatese were as follows:
    26.01.2025 Atletico Ascoli - Recanatese 1:1
    Latest results of Atletico Ascoli
    Latest results of Recanatese
    05.10.2025 Ancona - Recanatese 2:0
    24.09.2025 L Aquila - Recanatese 2:1
    21.09.2025 Recanatese - Termoli 1:1
    14.09.2025 Sammaurese - Recanatese 1:4
    07.09.2025 Recanatese - Notaresco 1:4
    Italian Serie D - Group F Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ostiamare990020:51527
    2Ancona971117:51222
    3Teramo963018:71121
    4Notaresco Calcio962115:8720
    5L Aquila952219:12717
    6Atletico Ascoli942319:11814
    7Sora933317:12512
    8Calcio Chieti926112:12012
    9Vigor Senigallia93338:10-212
    10Unipomezia933310:14-412
    11Termoli925212:12011
    12Maceratese930610:15-59
    13Giulianova91537:11-48
    14San Marino Calcio92257:13-68
    15Fossombrone91447:11-47
    16Recanatese91178:18-104
    17Sammaurese91176:19-134
    18Castelfidardo90184:21-171

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
          Relegation