Atlético CP vs Belenenses – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
30/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
55
Shots on target
13
Corner Kicks
33
Yellow Cards
43
Total shots
55
Shots on target
13
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Joaozinho , Caleb (A),
  • 12', Dias R. 🟨,
  • 14', 1 - 1, Valente A. ,
  • 35', Henriques D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 56', David Rebelo , Sambu M. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Pinto A. , Paulo D. (A),
  • 60', Pascoal C. , Sousa C. ,
  • 68', Paulo D. 🟨,
  • 69', Delcio , Nicolas Souza ,
  • 69', Dias R. , Okoli F. ,
  • 71', Valente A. 🟨,
  • 76', Dinamite D. 🟨,
  • 76', Valente A. , Afonso A. ,
  • 76', Souza E. , Paredes J. ,
  • 77', Nicolas Souza 🟨,
  • 78', Paulinho , Marques R. ,
  • 78', Dinamite D. , Santos R. ,
  • 85', Paulo D. , Lucas J. ,
  • 85', Horta Leitao D. , Teixeira J. ,
  • 90+3', Barros E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético CP
34.6%
Draw
31%
Belenenses
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 32.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7% 33.1% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Belenenses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belenenses than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Atlético CP - Belenenses Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.68
    (2.64)
    2.98
    (2.84)
    2.69
    (2.76)
    8.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Atlético CP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Belenenses has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético CP won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Belenenses were as follows:
    17.08.2025 Belenenses - Atlético CP 1:0
    05.04.2025 Atlético CP - Belenenses 2:2
    07.02.2025 Belenenses - Atlético CP 1:1
    01.12.2024 Belenenses - Atlético CP 0:0
    18.08.2024 Atlético CP - Belenenses 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    21.11.2025 Atlético CP - Benfica 0:2
    08.11.2025 Amora - Atlético CP 1:1
    02.11.2025 Mafra - Atlético CP 1:0
    26.10.2025 Atlético CP - Covilhã 0:0
    19.10.2025 Atlético CP - Felgueiras 2:0
    Latest results of Belenenses
    09.11.2025 Belenenses - Mafra 2:1
    26.10.2025 1 Dezembro - Belenenses 0:1
    19.10.2025 Belenenses - Estoril Praia 1:2
    11.10.2025 Belenenses - Covilhã 3:0
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Guimaraes B42116:337
    2Academica32016:426
    3Amarante32014:316
    4Varzim42024:5-16
    5Os Belenenses41216:605
    6Mafra31112:204
    7Santarem31023:5-23
    8Trofense40222:5-32

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