Atlético CP vs Lusitano GC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
15/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Relegation Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
65
Corner kicks
83
Yellow cards
13
Total shots
910
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
35
Corner kicks
83

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Nicolas Souza ,
  • 33', Santana C. 🟨,
  • 37', 🟨,
  • 42', Cande B. , Davou S. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Nicolas Souza ,
  • 54', Dias R. , Marques R. ,
  • 63', Almara F. , Tipote L. ,
  • 70', Pinto J. , Soares M. ,
  • 70', Aguas M. , Lucao ,
  • 73', Sousa C. , Okoli F. ,
  • 73', Caleb , Delcio ,
  • 82', Herrera J. , Silva D. ,
  • 83', Nicolas Souza , Hernandez S. ,
  • 88', 🟨,
  • 89', 3 - 0, Hernandez S. ,
  • 90+1', Monteiro R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético CP
40.4%
Draw
30.4%
Lusitano GC
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 32% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6% 32.1% 27.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Lusitano GC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitano GC than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Atlético CP - Lusitano GC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.26)
    3
    (2.85)
    3.12
    (3.32)
    9.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Atlético CP - Lusitano GC?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lusitano GC (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Atlético CP will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético CP won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:4. (average 1.7:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético CP won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético CP - Lusitano GC were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 1:0
    13.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
    28.05.2023 Atlético CP - Lusitano GC 5:1
    07.05.2023 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 0:1
    02.04.2023 Lusitano GC - Atlético CP 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético CP
    Latest results of Lusitano GC
    24.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Lusitano GC 1:1
    17.01.2026 Lusitano GC - Caldas 1:0
    10.01.2026 Amora - Lusitano GC 1:1
    04.01.2026 Lusitano GC - Covilhã 2:1
    27.12.2025 Lusitano GC - Fafe 0:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Academica21013:303
    5Amarante21012:203
    6Santarem21012:203
    7Mafra21011:103
    8Trofense30121:4-31

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