Result
2:2
08/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 17
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 69', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Oriental
33% | Draw
30% | Atlético da Malveira
37% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Oriental has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oriental's form might have worsened.Atlético da Malveira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético da Malveira's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oriental, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético da Malveira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Oriental - Atlético da Malveira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.2) |
3.02 ↑
(2.95) |
2.44 ↓
(2.85) |
10.5%
(14.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Oriental won against Atlético da Malveira?
Oriental has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético da Malveira won against Oriental?
Atlético da Malveira has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oriental - Atlético da Malveira were as follows:
14.09.2025
Atlético da Malveira
-
Oriental
2:0
Latest results of Oriental
Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Juv. Evora | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Louletano | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Serpa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Oriental | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
