Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Serpa
37.1% | Draw
31.3% | Atlético da Malveira
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Serpa - Atlético da Malveira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.4) |
2.9 ↓
(3) |
2.86
(2.86) |
10.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Malveira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Serpa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Atlético da Malveira?
Serpa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético da Malveira won against Serpa?
Atlético da Malveira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Atlético da Malveira were as follows:
05.10.2025
Atlético da Malveira
-
Serpa
2:2
Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Malveira | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Serpa | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 24 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
