Atlético da Malveira vs Serpa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Atlético da Malveira - Serpa
Result
2:2
05/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
95
Corner Kicks
91
Total shots
139
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
91

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 61', 2 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Atlético da Malveira
40.6%
Draw
29.9%
Serpa
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 30% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.9% 26.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Serpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Atlético da Malveira - Serpa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.1)
    3.07
    (3)
    3
    (3.33)
    9.6%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
    • Malveira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Serpa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Malveira is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
    Latest results of Serpa
    21.09.2025 Lusitano GC - Serpa 1:0
    14.09.2025 Moncarapachense - Serpa 1:1
    31.08.2025 Serpa - Portel 3:0
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louletano633010:4612
    2Malveira63217:3411
    3Serpa63219:5411
    4Juv. Evora63217:5211
    5Oriental63218:5311
    6Alverca B623110:919
    7Sintrense62226:7-18
    8O Elvas CAD62137:617
    9Moncarapachense61415:507
    10Portimonense B62047:10-36
    11Industria61324:7-36
    12GD Alcochetense61235:7-25
    13Lagoa60336:10-43
    14Vasco da Gama60336:14-83

          Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
          Relegation