Result
1:0
22/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 19
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 86', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Serpa
37.1% | Draw
31.3% | Atlético da Malveira
31.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Atlético da Malveira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético da Malveira than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Serpa - Atlético da Malveira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(2.4) |
2.9 ↓
(3) |
2.86
(2.86) |
10.4%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Malveira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Serpa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Serpa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Atlético da Malveira?
Serpa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético da Malveira won against Serpa?
Atlético da Malveira has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Serpa - Atlético da Malveira were as follows:
05.10.2025
Atlético da Malveira
-
Serpa
2:2
Latest results of Atlético da Malveira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Malveira | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 25:16 | 9 | 34 |
| 2 | Juv. Evora | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 23:17 | 6 | 33 |
| 3 | Louletano | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 32 |
| 4 | Serpa | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23:23 | 0 | 30 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 29 |
| 7 | Alverca B | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 32:27 | 5 | 28 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Oriental | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 26 |
| 10 | O Elvas CAD | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 25 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 18 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 16:27 | -11 | 17 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama | 19 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 16:35 | -19 | 13 |
| 14 | Industria | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 16:29 | -13 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
