Atlético de Rafaela vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy
Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
85
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Pastorelli A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 64', Leineker C. , Miranda B. ,
  • 67', Mast T. 🟨,
  • 77', Affranchino F. , Marquez E. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Ponce F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
62.7%
Draw
23.9%
Independiente Chivilcoy
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 24.8% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 23.9% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.53)
    3.81
    (3.65)
    6.76
    (5.69)
    9.9%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ind Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ind Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    Winners stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ciudad Bolivar852111:5617
    2Argentino MM850313:9415
    3Olimpo Bahia Blanca84317:4315
    4Deportivo Rincon83236:7-111
    5Biblioteca Atenas81613:309
    6Costa Brava82338:9-19
    7Villa Mitre82333:5-29
    8Cipolletti81344:7-36
    9Kimberley81255:11-65


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano851214:10416
    2Atl. Rafaela85129:6316
    3Chivilcoy842211:6514
    4San Martin Formosa842210:7314
    5Sarmiento de La Banda84137:11-413
    69 de Julio Rafaela82427:7010
    7Juventud Antoniana82338:809
    8Independiente Chivilcoy81348:11-36
    9Douglas Haig80173:11-81

          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)