Atlético de Rafaela vs Independiente Chivilcoy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
23/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
85
Shots on target
61
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
85
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
24
Corner Kicks
82
Goalkeeper Saves
15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 14', 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Albertengo L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 64', Pastorelli A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 64', Leineker C. , Miranda B. ,
  • 67', Mast T. 🟨,
  • 77', Affranchino F. , Marquez E. ,
  • 79', 🟨,
  • 80', Ponce F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético de Rafaela
62.7%
Draw
23.9%
Independiente Chivilcoy
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 24.8% 15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6% 23.9% 15.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético de Rafaela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • Independiente Chivilcoy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Chivilcoy than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • Atlético de Rafaela - Independiente Chivilcoy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.53)
    3.81
    (3.65)
    6.76
    (5.69)
    9.9%
    (10.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
    • Atlético Rafaela is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Ind Chivilcoy is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Ind Chivilcoy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Atlético Rafaela is the obvious favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
    2026

    Group 1
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sportivo Belgrano11003:033
    2Douglas Haig11002:113
    3Defensores Belgrano VR11002:113
    4Independiente Chivilcoy11002:113
    5El Linqueno11001:013
    6Gimnasia E.R10011:2-10
    7Chivilcoy10011:2-10
    8Atletico Escobar10011:2-10
    9Sportivo Las Parejas10010:1-10
    109 de Julio Rafaela10010:3-30


    Group 2
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Unidos11003:123
    2Juventud Antoniana11003:123
    3San Martin Formosa11002:113
    4Tucuman Central11001:013
    5Sol de America00000:000
    6Defensores de Vilelas10011:2-10
    7Bartolome Mitre10010:1-10
    8Sarmiento Resistencia10011:3-20
    9Sarmiento de La Banda10011:3-20


    Group 3
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Costa Brava11003:033
    2Biblioteca Atenas11003:123
    3San Martin Mendoza10100:001
    4Juventud U.U10100:001
    5Huracan Las Heras10100:001
    6Argentino MM10100:001
    7Deportivo Rincon00000:000
    8Cipolletti10011:3-20
    9Fundacion Amigos10010:3-30


    Group 4
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpo Bahia Blanca11002:023
    2Kimberley11001:013
    3Guillermo Brown10102:201
    4Santamarina10102:201
    5Germinal10101:101
    6Sol de Mayo10101:101
    7Circulo Deportivo00000:000
    8Villa Mitre10010:1-10
    9Alvarado10010:2-20

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