Sarmiento de La Banda vs Atlético de Rafaela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Torneo Federal Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela
Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
99
Yellow Cards
41
Red Cards
01
Total shots
910
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
66
Corner Kicks
99
Goalkeeper Saves
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Herrera R. ,
  • 12', 🟨,
  • 25', Capurro J. 🟨,
  • 25', 🟨,
  • 43', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', 🟨,
  • 84', Soloa F. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Sarmiento de La Banda
52.3%
Draw
28.5%
Atlético de Rafaela
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 30.8% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 32.1% 31%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.
  • Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-13.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.44)
    3.42
    (2.93)
    5.08
    (2.79)
    2.7%
    (11%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
    • Atlético Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
    • Recent form of Sarmiento La Banda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Atlético Rafaela is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento La Banda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
    06.07.2025 Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela 1:0
    03.05.2025 Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de La Banda 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1CipollettiKimberley0 : 1
    2Independiente ChivilcoyDouglas Haig
    3Villa MitreGuillermo Brown
    4Juventud AntonianaBoca Unidos
    5Costa BravaBartolome Mitre
    69 de Julio RafaelaGerminal
    7Biblioteca AtenasSarmiento Resistencia1 : 0
    8Sarmiento de La BandaSan Martin Mendoza0 : 0
    9Deportivo RinconSportivo Las Parejas
    10San Martin FormosaSol de Mayo
    11ChivilcoyEl Linqueno
    12Olimpo Bahia BlancaJuventud U.U.