Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
48% | 52% |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
9 | 10 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
9 | 9 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Herrera R. ⚽,
- 12', 🟨,
- 25', Capurro J. 🟨,
- 25', 🟨,
- 43', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', 🟨,
- 84', Soloa F. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de La Banda 52.3% | Draw 28.5% | Atlético de Rafaela 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↓ (2.44) |
3.42 ↑ (2.93) |
5.08 ↑ (2.79) |
2.7% (11%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
- Atlético Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
- Recent form of Sarmiento La Banda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Rafaela is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento La Banda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de La Banda won against Atlético de Rafaela?
Sarmiento de La Banda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against Sarmiento de La Banda?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
06.07.2025
Sarmiento de La Banda
-
Atlético de Rafaela
1:0
03.05.2025
Atlético de Rafaela
-
Sarmiento de La Banda
2:1
Latest results of Sarmiento de La Banda
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Draw
Promotion - Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Cipolletti | Kimberley | 0 : 1 |
2 | Independiente Chivilcoy | Douglas Haig | |
3 | Villa Mitre | Guillermo Brown | |
4 | Juventud Antoniana | Boca Unidos | |
5 | Costa Brava | Bartolome Mitre | |
6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Germinal | |
7 | Biblioteca Atenas | Sarmiento Resistencia | 1 : 0 |
8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | San Martin Mendoza | 0 : 0 |
9 | Deportivo Rincon | Sportivo Las Parejas | |
10 | San Martin Formosa | Sol de Mayo | |
11 | Chivilcoy | El Linqueno | |
12 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | Juventud U.U. | |