Result
1:0
14/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', 1 - 0, Herrera R. ⚽,
- 12', 🟨,
- 25', Capurro J. 🟨,
- 25', 🟨,
- 43', 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', 🟨,
- 84', Soloa F. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sarmiento de La Banda
52.3% | Draw
28.5% | Atlético de Rafaela
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarmiento de La Banda's performance.Atlético de Rafaela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético de Rafaela might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-13.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarmiento de La Banda that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético de Rafaela than the current prediction. (+11.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético de Rafaela could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(2.44) |
3.42 ↑
(2.93) |
5.08 ↑
(2.79) |
2.7%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
- Atlético Rafaela is Qualified for Torneo Federal (Play Offs )
- Recent form of Sarmiento La Banda has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Rafaela is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sarmiento La Banda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Sarmiento La Banda won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarmiento de La Banda won against Atlético de Rafaela?
Sarmiento de La Banda has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético de Rafaela won against Sarmiento de La Banda?
Atlético de Rafaela has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarmiento de La Banda - Atlético de Rafaela were as follows:
06.07.2025
Sarmiento de La Banda
-
Atlético de Rafaela
1:0
03.05.2025
Atlético de Rafaela
-
Sarmiento de La Banda
2:1
Latest results of Sarmiento de La Banda
Latest results of Atlético de Rafaela
Argentinian Torneo Federal Table
2026Group 1 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Douglas Haig | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Independiente Chivilcoy | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
| 3 | Defensores Belgrano VR | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Sportivo Belgrano | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | El Linqueno | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
| 7 | Chivilcoy | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Gimnasia E.R | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 10 | Atletico Escobar | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
Group 2 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Juventud Antoniana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Defensores de Vilelas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Tucuman Central | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Bartolome Mitre | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 | Sol de America | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Boca Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | San Martin Formosa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 8 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
| 9 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group 3 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Costa Brava | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Juventud U.U | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Deportivo Rincon | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Cipolletti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Biblioteca Atenas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | San Martin Mendoza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 8 | Argentino MM | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 3 |
| 9 | Fundacion Amigos | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Group 4 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Kimberley | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Santamarina | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Sol de Mayo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Germinal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 | Alvarado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Circulo Deportivo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
| 9 | Guillermo Brown | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )
Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )
