Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.84 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (286/354) | 73% (235/323) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.84 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (286/354) | 73% (235/323) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 31% (21/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (65/89) | 42% (39/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 71% (17/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Lucumi J. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Olivares C. (A),
- 55', Tamariz A. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 55', Vilchez J. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
- 59', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 60', Ganoza M. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
- 62', Reyes J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
- 70', Olivares C. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 76', Franco D. 🟨,
- 77', Bandiera N. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Sandoval T. ⚽, Tapia R. (A),
- 86', Orue D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Loayza G. (A),
Chances of winning
Ayacucho
37.6% | Draw
31.4% | Atlético Grau
31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ayacucho - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.5 ↓
(2.64) |
2.95 ↓
(3.12) |
2.97 ↑
(2.76) |
7.6%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grau will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There are questionable in Grau: Reyes J.
(Injury)
Sandoval T.
(Injury)
Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Atlético Grau?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Ayacucho?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Atlético Grau were as follows:
08.02.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Ayacucho
1:0
11.09.2022
Atlético Grau
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 10 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 12 | Grau | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 14 | AD Tarma | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
