Result
1:2
20/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.84 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
81% (286/354) | 73% (235/323) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.56 | 0.84 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 1.42 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 0 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 11 |
Passes |
---|
81% (286/354) | 73% (235/323) |
Long passes |
---|
53% (31/58) | 31% (21/67) |
Passes in final third |
---|
73% (65/89) | 42% (39/92) |
Crosses |
---|
18% (3/17) | 23% (3/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.32 | 0.30 |
Throw-ins |
---|
26 | 25 |
Fouls |
---|
11 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (10/15) | 71% (17/24) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
3 | 9 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.42 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.58 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Lucumi J. ↓, Loayza G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 50', 0 - 1, de la Cruz P. ⚽, Olivares C. (A),
- 55', Tamariz A. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
- 55', Vilchez J. ↓, Caro D. ↑,
- 59', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 60', Ganoza M. ↓, Ataupillco J. ↑,
- 62', Reyes J. ↓, F. Rojas ↑,
- 70', Olivares C. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 76', Franco D. 🟨,
- 77', Bandiera N. ↓, Rostaing J. ↑,
- 82', 0 - 2, Sandoval T. ⚽, Tapia R. (A),
- 86', Orue D. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Perez Azambuya E. M. ⚽, Loayza G. (A),
Chances of winning
Ayacucho 37.6% | Draw 31.4% | Atlético Grau 31% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ayacucho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayacucho than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Ayacucho - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.5 ↓ (2.64) |
2.95 ↓ (3.12) |
2.97 ↑ (2.76) |
7.6% (6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Ayacucho - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Ayacucho will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Grau will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In recent matches, Ayacucho has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Grau is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Ayacucho may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There are questionable in Grau: Reyes J.
(Injury)
Sandoval T.
(Injury)
Soto D.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.8:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Ayacucho won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ayacucho won against Atlético Grau?
Ayacucho has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Ayacucho?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ayacucho - Atlético Grau were as follows:
08.02.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Ayacucho
1:0
11.09.2022
Atlético Grau
-
Ayacucho
3:0
Latest results of Ayacucho
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )