Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (357/407) | 85% (360/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.21 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (357/407) | 85% (360/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (45/68) | 42% (22/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (68/92) | 74% (61/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (14/16) | 86% (6/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.21 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.79 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Custodio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 57', Garro J. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
- 66', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 66', Colitto L. ↓, Da Silva P. ↑,
- 69', Bolivar J. ↓, Rodas E. ↑,
- 73', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 73', Garcia B. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 0, Ampuero A. ⚽, Ruidias M. (A),
- 84', Ruidias M. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 88', Silva N. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 90+4', Reyes J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cusco
60.4% | Draw
25.4% | Atlético Grau
14.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Cusco - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.62) |
3.65 ↑
(3.31) |
6.58 ↑
(6) |
7.3%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cusco - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Cusco will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Grau will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cusco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Cusco is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Cusco: Callejo F.
(Muscle Injury)
Fuentes A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Grau: Tapia R.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cusco won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cusco won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Atlético Grau?
Cusco has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Cusco?
Atlético Grau has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cusco - Atlético Grau were as follows:
19.06.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Cusco
0:0
06.03.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Cusco
1:0
28.10.2024
Cusco
-
Atlético Grau
0:1
17.05.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Cusco
4:0
21.09.2023
Cusco
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cajamarca | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | FBC Melgar | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 7 | FC Cajamarca | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 | Cusco | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Sport Boys | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | AD Tarma | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Moquegua | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 3 |
| 18 | Grau | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
