Atlético Grau vs Escuela Municipal Binacional: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional
Result
3:0
24/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ramos P. (Esp)
Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.20
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
93% (498/538)81% (283/351)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.290.00
Total shots
223
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
913
Passes
93% (498/538)81% (283/351)
Long passes
66% (35/53)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
83% (95/114)69% (37/54)
Crosses
43% (9/21)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.38
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
139
Tackles
63% (10/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4036
Clearances
1217
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.002.29
Goals prevented
0.00-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
  • 33', Timana H. , Chavez E. ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Olivares C. , F. Rojas (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vilca R. , Garcia B. ,
  • 58', Tello Y. , Torres R. ,
  • 64', Chavez E. 🟨,
  • 68', Perez C. 🟥,
  • 73', Rostaing J. , Bandiera N. ,
  • 73', Olivares C. , Herrera Joel ,
  • 79', Soto D. , Solis A. ,
  • 81', Aubert E. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 81', Flores F. , Aguinaga A. ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Herrera Joel ,
  • 85', F. Rojas , Reyes J. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
71.7%
Draw
18.4%
Escuela Municipal Binacional
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.7% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 22.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.
  • Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.65)
    5.04
    (3.95)
    9.5
    (4.75)
    6.9%
    (7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Grau is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F. (Injury) Garro J. (Injury) de la Cruz P. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grau won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional were as follows:
    16.07.2023 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional 2:1
    11.02.2023 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Atlético Grau 2:4
    28.08.2022 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. de Deportes ✔ 18123338:122639
    2Alianza Lima18114323:111237
    3Cusco18104434:201434
    4Alianza Atl18111628:181034
    5Sporting Cristal18102631:24732
    6FBC Melgar1887328:20831
    7Sport Huancayo1893623:21230
    8Deportivo Garcilaso1883728:19927
    9AD Tarma1866624:30-624
    10Cienciano1858529:25423
    11Los Chankas1858524:25-123
    12Grau1857623:24-122
    13Sport Boys1855826:28-220
    14Juan Pablo II1854920:28-819
    15Cajamarca1854917:34-1719
    16Binacional1846820:33-1318
    17Ayacucho18431114:27-1315
    18Comerciantes Unidos18251117:31-1411
    19Alianza Huanuco18251116:33-1711

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