Atlético Grau vs Escuela Municipal Binacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
24/05/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14
  • Referee: Ramos P. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.20
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
100
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
93% (498/538)81% (283/351)
Yellow Cards
01
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.190.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.290.00
Total shots
223
Shots on target
100
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
132
Shots outside the Box
91
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
225
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
913
Passes
93% (498/538)81% (283/351)
Long passes
66% (35/53)54% (28/52)
Passes in final third
83% (95/114)69% (37/54)
Crosses
43% (9/21)0% (0/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.38
Throw-ins
1412
Fouls
139
Tackles
63% (10/16)73% (11/15)
Duels won
4036
Clearances
1217
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
07
xGOT faced
0.002.29
Goals prevented
0.00-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
  • 33', Timana H. , Chavez E. ,
  • 36', 2 - 0, Olivares C. , F. Rojas (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Vilca R. , Garcia B. ,
  • 58', Tello Y. , Torres R. ,
  • 64', Chavez E. 🟨,
  • 68', Perez C. 🟥,
  • 73', Rostaing J. , Bandiera N. ,
  • 73', Olivares C. , Herrera Joel ,
  • 79', Soto D. , Solis A. ,
  • 81', Aubert E. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 81', Flores F. , Aguinaga A. ,
  • 84', 3 - 0, Herrera Joel ,
  • 85', F. Rojas , Reyes J. ,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
71.7%
Draw
18.4%
Escuela Municipal Binacional
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 23.7% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.7% 22.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.
  • Escuela Municipal Binacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Escuela Municipal Binacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Escuela Municipal Binacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Escuela Municipal Binacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.65)
    5.04
    (3.95)
    9.5
    (4.75)
    6.9%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Grau (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Grau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 15 and 14)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Grau is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Grau: Cavagna F. (Injury) Garro J. (Injury) de la Cruz P. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grau won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional were as follows:
    16.07.2023 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional 2:1
    11.02.2023 Escuela Municipal Binacional - Atlético Grau 2:4
    28.08.2022 Atlético Grau - Escuela Municipal Binacional 3:1
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Chankas972018:10823
    2Alianza Lima962112:5720
    3Cienciano961222:121019
    4U. de Deportes953112:7518
    5Cajamarca942312:11114
    6Cusco941412:10213
    7Juan Pablo II941415:21-613
    8Comerciantes Unidos933313:13012
    9Sporting Cristal932416:13311
    10Alianza Atl92529:8111
    11FBC Melgar932413:13011
    12Deportivo Garcilaso92439:10-110
    13Moquegua93158:15-710
    14AD Tarma92349:12-39
    15Sport Huancayo92259:13-48
    16Sport Boys92258:12-48
    17Grau91445:10-57
    18FC Cajamarca912610:17-75

          Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )