Result
1:1
22/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10
- Referee: Haro D. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Mexico | Fanatiz |
Peru | GOL Peru, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/299) | 81% (395/486) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 72% (216/299) | 81% (395/486) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (24/60) | 46% (32/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (61/98) | 72% (88/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 1.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Garro J. ⚽, Soto D. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Lopez C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Bandiera N. ↓, Vilca R. ↑,
- 54', Riojas H. 🟨,
- 62', Garro J. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
- 65', Mora O. 🟨,
- 75', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 80', Alarcon J. ↓, Gonzales J. ↑,
- 81', Comizzo A. 🟥,
- 88', Saba E. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 90+1', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 90+1', de la Cruz P. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sport Boys 41.9% | Draw 31% | Atlético Grau 27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Boys's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Boys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Sport Boys - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.23 ↑ (1.92) |
3.04 ↓ (3.35) |
3.42 ↓ (3.45) |
7% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sport Boys - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sport Boys will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 0.
- Sport Boys is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Grau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sport Boys won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sport Boys won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Boys won against Atlético Grau?
Sport Boys has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sport Boys?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sport Boys - Atlético Grau were as follows:
27.04.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
3:3
14.09.2024
Sport Boys
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
05.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
0:0
21.08.2023
Sport Boys
-
Atlético Grau
1:1
02.04.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
3:0
Latest results of Sport Boys
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 |
| 2 | Cusco | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:12 | 9 | 26 |
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 |
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 |
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 |
| 12 | Grau | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 16:17 | -1 | 15 |
| 13 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 |
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 |
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )