Result
3:3
27/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (249/334) | 65% (153/235) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (249/334) | 65% (153/235) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (37/74) | 27% (15/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (72/117) | 56% (47/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 46% (6/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 37 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (13/26) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.99 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.01 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Vilca R. ⚽, Garro J. (A),
- 39', Franco D. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Hohberg A. (Pen),
- 44', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', Gonzales J. 🟨,
- 56', Cavagna F. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
- 58', Gonzales J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Da C. H. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 74', Colombo R. ↓, Villalta B. ↑,
- 74', Lopez C. ↓, Huaman A. ↑,
- 74', Bolivar J. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 80', Altuna A. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 84', 2 - 3, Hohberg A. ⚽, Carbajal C. (A),
- 86', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 90', Vilca R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 90+3', Riojas H. 🟨,
- 90+6', Carbajal C. 🟥,
- 90+7', Rivadeneyra S. 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 3, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 90+11', Colombo R. 🟨,
- 90+13', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau
51.3% | Draw
27.9% | Sport Boys
20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlético Grau - Sport Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.67) |
3.35 ↓
(3.65) |
4.48 ↓
(5.39) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Sport Boys?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Grau will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Grau will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 2.
- Grau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sport Boys is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sport Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Grau is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grau: Olivares C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Red Card)
Nequecaur L.
(Red Card)
Salazar R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grau: de la Cruz P.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Grau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sport Boys?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Boys won against Atlético Grau?
Sport Boys has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Sport Boys were as follows:
14.09.2024
Sport Boys
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
05.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
0:0
21.08.2023
Sport Boys
-
Atlético Grau
1:1
02.04.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
3:0
29.09.2022
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 13 | 17 |
| 2 | Cusco | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 8 | 16 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:10 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Los Chankas | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | FBC Melgar | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Alianza Huanuco | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | AD Tarma | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 14 | Binacional | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 16 | Grau | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
