Atlético Grau vs Sport Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 1 Atlético Grau - Sport Boys
Result
3:3
27/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
  • Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
peruPeruL1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.462.20
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
138
Shots on target
53
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
75% (249/334)65% (153/235)
Expected Goals (xG)
2.462.20
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.99
Total shots
138
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1514
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1315
Passes
75% (249/334)65% (153/235)
Long passes
50% (37/74)27% (15/55)
Passes in final third
62% (72/117)56% (47/84)
Crosses
13% (2/16)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.75
Throw-ins
3714
Fouls
1513
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (13/26)
Duels won
4060
Clearances
1438
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
1.991.57
Goals prevented
-1.01-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 27', 1 - 0, Vilca R. , Garro J. (A),
  • 39', Franco D. 🟨,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Hohberg A. (Pen),
  • 44', Tapia R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', Gonzales J. 🟨,
  • 56', Cavagna F. , Bandiera N. ,
  • 58', Gonzales J. , Rodriguez G. ,
  • 68', 1 - 2, Da C. H. , Hohberg A. (A),
  • 74', Colombo R. , Villalta B. ,
  • 74', Lopez C. , Huaman A. ,
  • 74', Bolivar J. , Sandoval T. ,
  • 80', Altuna A. 🟨,
  • 83', 2 - 2, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
  • 84', 2 - 3, Hohberg A. , Carbajal C. (A),
  • 86', Reyes J. 🟨,
  • 90', Vilca R. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 90+3', Riojas H. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Carbajal C. 🟥,
  • 90+7', Rivadeneyra S. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 3, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
  • 90+11', Colombo R. 🟨,
  • 90+13', Rodriguez G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Grau
51.3%
Draw
27.9%
Sport Boys
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 25.9% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1% 25.2% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.
  • Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Atlético Grau - Sport Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.83
    (1.67)
    3.35
    (3.65)
    4.48
    (5.39)
    6.9%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Sport Boys?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Grau will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.23%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Grau will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 2.
    • Grau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Sport Boys is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sport Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Grau is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Grau: Olivares C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E. (Red Card) Nequecaur L. (Red Card) Salazar R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Grau: de la Cruz P. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Grau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Sport Boys were as follows:
    14.09.2024 Sport Boys - Atlético Grau 0:0
    05.04.2024 Atlético Grau - Sport Boys 0:0
    21.08.2023 Sport Boys - Atlético Grau 1:1
    02.04.2023 Atlético Grau - Sport Boys 3:0
    29.09.2022 Atlético Grau - Sport Boys 3:0
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Latest results of Sport Boys
    Peruvian Liga 1 Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal330010:0109
    2Cusco33006:069
    3U. de Deportes32107:347
    4Deportivo Garcilaso32105:147
    5Sport Huancayo42118:717
    6Alianza Lima31113:4-14
    7FBC Melgar31112:3-14
    8Ayacucho41124:6-24
    9Alianza Atl30301:103
    10Alianza Huanuco31024:5-13
    11Grau21013:4-13
    12Juan Pablo II31025:7-23
    13Los Chankas21013:5-23
    14AD Tarma21011:3-23
    15Cajamarca20111:2-11
    16Cienciano30122:4-21
    17Binacional20110:2-21
    18Comerciantes Unidos30123:6-31
    19Sport Boys30120:5-51

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