Result
3:3
27/04/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Menendez A. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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China | K-Ball |
Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.46 | 2.20 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
75% (249/334) | 65% (153/235) |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.46 | 2.20 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.57 | 1.99 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
15 | 14 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
75% (249/334) | 65% (153/235) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (37/74) | 27% (15/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
62% (72/117) | 56% (47/84) |
Crosses |
---|
13% (2/16) | 46% (6/13) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.91 | 0.75 |
Throw-ins |
---|
37 | 14 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (5/7) | 50% (13/26) |
Duels won |
---|
40 | 60 |
Clearances |
---|
14 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
0 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.99 | 1.57 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.01 | -1.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Vilca R. ⚽, Garro J. (A),
- 39', Franco D. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Hohberg A. (Pen),
- 44', Tapia R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', Gonzales J. 🟨,
- 56', Cavagna F. ↓, Bandiera N. ↑,
- 58', Gonzales J. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 2, Da C. H. ⚽, Hohberg A. (A),
- 74', Colombo R. ↓, Villalta B. ↑,
- 74', Lopez C. ↓, Huaman A. ↑,
- 74', Bolivar J. ↓, Sandoval T. ↑,
- 80', Altuna A. 🟨,
- 83', 2 - 2, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 84', 2 - 3, Hohberg A. ⚽, Carbajal C. (A),
- 86', Reyes J. 🟨,
- 90', Vilca R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 90+3', Riojas H. 🟨,
- 90+6', Carbajal C. 🟥,
- 90+7', Rivadeneyra S. 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 3, Ruidiaz R. (Pen),
- 90+11', Colombo R. 🟨,
- 90+13', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Grau 51.3% | Draw 27.9% | Sport Boys 20.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Grau's form might have worsened.Sport Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Grau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Boys than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Atlético Grau - Sport Boys Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↑ (1.67) |
3.35 ↓ (3.65) |
4.48 ↓ (5.39) |
6.9% (5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Grau - Sport Boys?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Grau will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Grau will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 10).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grau won 2.
- Grau is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Sport Boys is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Sport Boys could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Grau is a favorite.
- There will not play in Grau: Olivares C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sport Boys: Gonzales E.
(Red Card)
Nequecaur L.
(Red Card)
Salazar R.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Grau: de la Cruz P.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Grau won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sport Boys?
Atlético Grau has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sport Boys won against Atlético Grau?
Sport Boys has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Grau - Sport Boys were as follows:
14.09.2024
Sport Boys
-
Atlético Grau
0:0
05.04.2024
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
0:0
21.08.2023
Sport Boys
-
Atlético Grau
1:1
02.04.2023
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
3:0
29.09.2022
Atlético Grau
-
Sport Boys
3:0
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Latest results of Sport Boys
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting Cristal | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:0 | 10 | 9 |
2 | Cusco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 9 |
3 | U. de Deportes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 7 |
4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
5 | Sport Huancayo | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
6 | Alianza Lima | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
7 | FBC Melgar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
8 | Ayacucho | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
9 | Alianza Atl | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Alianza Huanuco | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
11 | Grau | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Juan Pablo II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
13 | Los Chankas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
14 | AD Tarma | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Cajamarca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
16 | Cienciano | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
17 | Binacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
19 | Sport Boys | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )