Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Rissios Duran D. S. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Brazil | Paramount+ |
Canada | beIN Connect |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Indonesia | Mola TV |
Italy | Como TV |
Mexico | Disney+ |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Peru | Disney+ |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 0.63 |
Ball Possession |
---|
50% | 50% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
81% (346/429) | 84% (376/445) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 0.63 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.51 | 1.63 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
6 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (346/429) | 84% (376/445) |
Long passes |
---|
58% (38/65) | 43% (17/40) |
Passes in final third |
---|
58% (70/120) | 65% (52/80) |
Crosses |
---|
39% (11/28) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.68 | 0.40 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 10 |
Tackles |
---|
69% (9/13) | 69% (9/13) |
Duels won |
---|
54 | 50 |
Clearances |
---|
16 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.63 | 0.51 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.63 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Maldonado S. 🟨,
- 25', Santander F. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Rostaing J. ⚽, Sandoval T. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 67', Pereira K. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
- 76', Sandoval T. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez W. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 76', Brizuela A. ↓, Aguilar P. ↑,
- 76', Vera E. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
- 84', Vilca R. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
- 90+5', Aguilar P. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño 40.6% | Draw 29.6% | Atlético Grau 29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (1.91) |
3.17 ↓ (3.37) |
3.17 ↓ (4.1) |
6.3% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grau has had a series of home games.
- Sportivo Luqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Atlético Grau?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau were as follows:
23.04.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:2
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
4 | Bye | Independiente | |
5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
6 | Bye | Lanus | |
7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | |
2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | |
3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | |
4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | |
5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | |
6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | |
7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | |
8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal