Sportivo Luqueño vs Atlético Grau: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Copa Sudamericana Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Rissios Duran D. S. (Chi)
Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.63
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
81% (346/429)84% (376/445)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.511.63
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (346/429)84% (376/445)
Long passes
58% (38/65)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
58% (70/120)65% (52/80)
Crosses
39% (11/28)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.40
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1510
Tackles
69% (9/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
1632
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.630.51
Goals prevented
0.630.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Maldonado S. 🟨,
  • 25', Santander F. , Gonzalez W. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Rostaing J. , Sandoval T. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Bandiera N. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
  • 67', Pereira K. , Comas L. ,
  • 73', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
  • 76', Sandoval T. , Olivares C. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez W. , Benitez F. ,
  • 76', Brizuela A. , Aguilar P. ,
  • 76', Vera E. , Caceres R. ,
  • 84', Vilca R. , Garcia B. ,
  • 90+5', Aguilar P. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
40.6%
Draw
29.6%
Atlético Grau
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 27.9% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 27.6% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.91)
    3.17
    (3.37)
    3.17
    (4.1)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grau has had a series of home games.
    • Sportivo Luqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Atlético Grau - Sportivo Luqueño 2:2
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Copa Sudamericana Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Independiente640216:61012
    2Guarani62229:12-38
    3Boston River621312:14-27
    4Nacional Potosi62138:13-57


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1U. Catolica642012:5714
    2Cerro Largo62135:8-37
    3Vitoria61323:4-16
    4Defensa y Justicia60424:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Huracan642011:2914
    2America De Cali61506:428
    3Corinthians62225:508
    4Racing Montevideo60153:14-111


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Godoy Cruz633010:5512
    2Gremio63308:4412
    3Grau60425:9-44
    4Sp. Luqueno60244:9-52


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mushuc Runa651012:4816
    2Palestino63039:909
    3Cruzeiro61235:7-25
    4Union de Santa Fe61142:8-64


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fluminense641111:2913
    2Once Caldas64028:6212
    3U. Espanola61236:7-15
    4GV San Jose61145:15-104


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lanus63309:4512
    2Vasco62228:808
    3FBC Melgar62135:10-57
    4Puerto Cabello61238:805


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cienciano624012:6610
    2Atletico-MG623111:659
    3Caracas62229:11-28
    4Deportes Iquique61147:16-94

          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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