Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
- Referee: Rissios Duran D. S. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3 |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Paramount+ |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (346/429) | 84% (376/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (346/429) | 84% (376/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (38/65) | 43% (17/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (70/120) | 65% (52/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (11/28) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', Maldonado S. 🟨,
- 25', Santander F. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 33', 0 - 1, Rostaing J. ⚽, Sandoval T. (A),
- 39', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 61', Bandiera N. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 65', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
- 67', Pereira K. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
- 76', Sandoval T. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
- 76', Rodriguez W. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 76', Brizuela A. ↓, Aguilar P. ↑,
- 76', Vera E. ↓, Caceres R. ↑,
- 84', Vilca R. ↓, Garcia B. ↑,
- 90+5', Aguilar P. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Sportivo Luqueño
40.6% | Draw
29.6% | Atlético Grau
29.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.31 ↑
(1.91) |
3.17 ↓
(3.37) |
3.17 ↓
(4.1) |
6.3%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Grau has had a series of home games.
- Sportivo Luqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Atlético Grau?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Grau won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Atlético Grau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau were as follows:
23.04.2025
Atlético Grau
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:2
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Latest results of Atlético Grau
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | Gremio | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | U. Catolica | |
| 3 | U. De Chile | Guarani | 1 : 2, 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Independiente | |
| 5 | Central Cordoba | Cerro Largo | 3 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Bye | Lanus | |
| 7 | Bahia | America De Cali | 0 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Fluminense | |
| 9 | Bolivar | Palestino | 3 : 0, 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Bye | Cienciano | |
| 11 | Bucaramanga | Atletico-MG | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Godoy Cruz | |
| 13 | Ind. del Valle | Vasco | 1 : 1, 4 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Mushuc Runa | |
| 15 | SA Bulo Bulo | Once Caldas | 0 : 4, 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Bye | Huracan | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | U. Catolica | 2 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | U. De Chile | Independiente | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Central Cordoba | Lanus | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | America De Cali | Fluminense | 0 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Bolivar | Cienciano | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Atletico-MG | Godoy Cruz | 1 : 0, 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Ind. del Valle | Mushuc Runa | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | Huracan | 3 : 1, 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Alianza Lima | TBD #2 | |
| 2 | Lanus | Fluminense | |
| 3 | Bolivar | Atletico-MG | |
| 4 | Ind. del Valle | Once Caldas | |
