Sportivo Luqueño vs Atlético Grau – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau
Result
1:1
14/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 5
  • Referee: Rissios Duran D. S. (Chi)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
brazilBrazilParamount+
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 3
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.63
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Passes
81% (346/429)84% (376/445)
Yellow Cards
30
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.640.63
xG on target (xGOT)
0.511.63
Total shots
129
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
42
Blocked Shots
64
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
22
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
2017
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1015
Passes
81% (346/429)84% (376/445)
Long passes
58% (38/65)43% (17/40)
Passes in final third
58% (70/120)65% (52/80)
Crosses
39% (11/28)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.40
Throw-ins
2117
Fouls
1510
Tackles
69% (9/13)69% (9/13)
Duels won
5450
Clearances
1632
Interceptions
411
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
1.630.51
Goals prevented
0.630.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', Maldonado S. 🟨,
  • 25', Santander F. , Gonzalez W. ,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Rostaing J. , Sandoval T. (A),
  • 39', 1 - 1, Bolivar J. (Own goal),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Bandiera N. , Vasquez A. ,
  • 65', Gonzalez W. 🟨,
  • 67', Pereira K. , Comas L. ,
  • 73', Rodriguez W. 🟨,
  • 76', Sandoval T. , Olivares C. ,
  • 76', Rodriguez W. , Benitez F. ,
  • 76', Brizuela A. , Aguilar P. ,
  • 76', Vera E. , Caceres R. ,
  • 84', Vilca R. , Garcia B. ,
  • 90+5', Aguilar P. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sportivo Luqueño
40.6%
Draw
29.6%
Atlético Grau
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 27.9% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7% 27.6% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Luqueño's form might have worsened.
  • Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Grau's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Luqueño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Grau, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.91)
    3.17
    (3.37)
    3.17
    (4.1)
    6.3%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Luqueño will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Grau has had a series of home games.
    • Sportivo Luqueño is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sportivo Luqueño won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sportivo Luqueño - Atlético Grau were as follows:
    23.04.2025 Atlético Grau - Sportivo Luqueño 2:2
    Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
    Latest results of Atlético Grau
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2