Result
1:1
17/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Robles C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 49', Garcia G. 🟨,
- 55', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 55', Yanez J. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 61', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 61', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 62', Millan O. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
- 64', 0 - 1, Ferrer J. ⚽, Barragan M. (A),
- 75', Cruz D. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Charcopa J. ⚽, Carrera J. N. (A),
- 78', Charcopa J. 🟨,
- 81', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
- 83', Charcopa J. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
- 83', Jimenez E. ↓, Coubert R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlante
66% | Draw
20% | Atlético La Paz
14% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Atlante - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.32) |
4.65 ↓
(5) |
6.61 ↓
(7.94) |
7.7%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Atlante is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:3. (average 3:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 3.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Atlético La Paz?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Atlante?
Atlético La Paz has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
07.11.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlante
0:6
18.01.2025
Atlante
-
Atlético La Paz
5:0
02.08.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlante
2:2
07.02.2024
Atlético La Paz
-
Atlante
0:0
16.08.2023
Atlante
-
Atlético La Paz
3:0
Latest results of Atlante
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Atlante (8) | 2 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia (3) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 2 : 0, 0 : 3 |
| 3 | Cancun (2) | Tapatio (7) | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz (4) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos (1) | Zacatecas Mineros (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Cancun (2) | Jaiba Brava (5) | 1 : 2 |
Final
