Result
3:1
03/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Garcia Olvera L. A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Illescas F. ⚽, Barragan M. (A),
- 9', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 22', Millan O. 🟨,
- 23', 1 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 2 - 1, Cruz C. ⚽,
- 50', Sandoval R. 🟨,
- 52', Rodriguez A. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
- 58', 3 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽,
- 62', Martinez G. 🟨,
- 63', Vazquez S. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
- 64', Alvarez D. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
- 64', Daccarett J. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
- 75', Millan O. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
- 75', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
- 85', Rangel J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 90+1', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Elbis ↑,
- 90+1', Cruz C. ↓, Munoz G. ↑,
- 90+1', Gamboa J. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Irapuato
52.8% | Draw
23.6% | Atlético La Paz
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irapuato's form might have worsened.Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irapuato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Irapuato - Atlético La Paz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.57) |
3.92 ↓
(4.27) |
3.92 ↓
(4.99) |
8.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Irapuato - Atlético La Paz?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Irapuato will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Irapuato has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético La Paz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Atlético La Paz has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Irapuato is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Atlético La Paz?
Irapuato has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético La Paz won against Irapuato?
Atlético La Paz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Atlético La Paz were as follows:
24.10.2025
Atlético La Paz
-
Irapuato
2:2
Latest results of Irapuato
Latest results of Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
