Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 7
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 1
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports La Liga
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Belarus	Belarus 5
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	CCTV-5, iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Haiti	Canal+ Sport 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Italy	DAZN Italia, Italia 1
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Madagascar	UpTV
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect, TVWan
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga 2, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Suriname	SCCN
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Zor TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15, SCTV 22

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
31.4%

Draw
27.1%

Real Madrid
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

27.6%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

27.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Atlético Madrid aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.1 ↓ (3.16)	3.57 (3.57)	2.33 ↓ (2.39)	3.2% (1.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Real will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 52.6% – 89%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Real (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Atlético (votes: 3 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 0.
In recent matches, Atlético has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Real is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Atlético: Almada T. (Muscle Injury) Gimenez J. M. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Real: Alexander-Arnold T. (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rudiger A. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Atlético: Cardoso J. (Ankle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 28:33. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.4:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Real Madrid?

Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Atlético Madrid?

Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid were as follows:

12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1

08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1

29.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1

04.02.2024 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

24.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 3:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Mallorca - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

17.09.2025 Liverpool - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Villarreal 2:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Deportivo Alavés - Atlético Madrid 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

23.09.2025 Levante - Real Madrid 1:4 ✺

20.09.2025 Real Madrid - Espanyol 2:0 ✺

16.09.2025 Real Madrid - Olympique Marseille 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Real Madrid - Mallorca 2:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	0	14:3	11	18
2	Barcelona	6	5	1	0	19:4	15	16
3	Villarreal	6	4	1	1	12:5	7	13
4	Espanyol	7	3	3	1	10:9	1	12
5	Elche	6	2	4	0	8:5	3	10
6	Ath Bilbao	6	3	1	2	7:7	0	10
7	Getafe	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
8	Atl. Madrid	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
9	Betis	6	2	3	1	9:7	2	9
10	Alaves	6	2	2	2	6:6	0	8
11	Valencia	6	2	2	2	8:10	-2	8
12	Sevilla	6	2	1	3	10:10	0	7
13	Osasuna	6	2	1	3	5:5	0	7
14	Rayo Vallecano	6	1	2	3	7:9	-2	5
15	Celta Vigo	6	0	5	1	5:7	-2	5
16	Real Sociedad	6	1	2	3	6:9	-3	5
17	Levante	6	1	1	4	10:13	-3	4
18	R. Oviedo	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
19	Girona	7	0	3	4	3:16	-13	3
20	Mallorca	6	0	2	4	5:11	-6	2

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2