Result
22/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Real Madrid
50.1% | Draw
24.3% | Atlético Madrid
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.9) |
3.92 ↓
(3.95) |
3.76 ↑
(3.61) |
4.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Atlético will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
- Real might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Real won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Atlético Madrid?
Real Madrid has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Real Madrid?
Atlético Madrid has won 3 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
08.01.2026
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Madrid
1:2
27.09.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Madrid
5:2
12.03.2025
Atlético Madrid
-
Real Madrid
1:1
04.03.2025
Real Madrid
-
Atlético Madrid
2:1
08.02.2025
Real Madrid
-
Atlético Madrid
1:1
Latest results of Real Madrid
Latest results of Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barcelona | 28 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 77:28 | 49 | 70 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 28 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 60:24 | 36 | 66 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Villarreal | 28 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Betis | 28 | 11 | 11 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 44 |
| 6 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 38:31 | 7 | 41 |
| 7 | Real Sociedad | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Espanyol | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 35:42 | -7 | 37 |
| 9 | Getafe | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 35 |
| 10 | Ath Bilbao | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:40 | -10 | 35 |
| 11 | Osasuna | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Girona | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | Rayo Vallecano | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 32 |
| 14 | Valencia | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 30:42 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | Sevilla | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 | Mallorca | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 33:45 | -12 | 28 |
| 17 | Alaves | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 28 |
| 18 | Elche | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 36:45 | -9 | 26 |
| 19 | Levante | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 20 | Oviedo | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 18:44 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ LaLiga2
