Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
08/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Busquets M. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanSolh Sports 1, Tolo TV
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 1
angolaAngolaZ Sports 2
argentinaArgentinaFlow Eventos, Flow Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaBTV Action, Voyo
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkBold+
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFranceL'Equipe, L'Equipe Live Foot
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceAction 24
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hungaryHungarySport 1
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
iranIranIRIB Varzesh
israelIsraelSport 4
japanJapanU-NEXT
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
malaysiaMalaysiaCanal+ Sport 3
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlow Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayVG+
paraguayParaguayFlow Eventos
peruPeruAmerica TV GO, America TV
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
surinameSurinameSCCN
swedenSwedenSport Bladet Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanFutbol TV
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
uruguayUruguayFlow
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes
venezuelaVenezuelaInter, Meridiano, Venevision Play, Venevision

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.261.14
Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
228
Shots on target
64
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
91
Passes
87% (467/538)84% (382/453)
Yellow cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.261.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.790.87
Total shots
228
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
156
Shots outside the box
72
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
10
Big chances
33
Corner kicks
91
Touches in opposition box
3616
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
77
Passes
87% (467/538)84% (382/453)
Long passes
57% (16/28)58% (38/66)
Passes in final third
79% (161/203)74% (81/110)
Crosses
24% (8/33)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
2.120.36
Throw ins
1311
Fouls
77
Tackles
84% (16/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
4835
Clearances
1629
Interceptions
1012
Errors leading to shot
22
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.871.79
Goals prevented
-1.130.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Valverde F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Gallagher C. , Le Normand R. ,
  • 55', 0 - 2, Rodrygo , Valverde F. (A),
  • 58', 1 - 2, Sorloth A. , Simeone G. (A),
  • 60', Koke , Cardoso J. ,
  • 60', Baena A. , Griezmann A. ,
  • 69', Asencio R. , Mendy F. ,
  • 69', Rudiger A. , Garcia F. ,
  • 74', Sorloth A. , Almada T. ,
  • 80', Ruggeri M. , Molina N. ,
  • 81', Vinicius Junior , Guler A. ,
  • 81', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
  • 81', Simeone D. 🟨,
  • 87', Rodrygo , Mastantuono F. ,
  • 87', Camavinga E. , Ceballos D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/3h2nzu76

Chances of winning


Atlético Madrid
30%
Draw
26.2%
Real Madrid
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 26.5% 43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 26.7% 43.4%

Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.18
(3.12)
3.65
(3.59)
2.18
(2.2)
4.7%
(5.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 8 - 14.8%). Real will win (votes: 36 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 18.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 54.1%79.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 1.
    • Atlético is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Real is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, Atlético has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlético: Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury) Lenglet C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Real: Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mbappe K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 32:32. (average 1.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 5:2
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1
    08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    29.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    Draw
    2026

    Semi-finals
    1BarcelonaAth Bilbao5 : 0
    2Real MadridAtl. Madrid2 : 1

    Final
    1BarcelonaReal Madrid3 : 2