Atlético Madrid vs Real Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid).

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Asr TV, Solh Sports 1
Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL
Argentina	Disney+, Fox Sports
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Canal+, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Max
Bulgaria	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 2, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2, MEGA
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 4, Now Player
Hungary	RTL+
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 2
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Japan	Wowow Live
Kosovo	ART Motion Sport 1, RTK 1
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1, TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1, Canal+ Sport Online
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1, RTS Serbia 1
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Kanal A, Voyo
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South-america	ESPN South, ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Orange Futbol 1
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, Discovery+ UK, Sport 24 International, TNT Sports 3
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+, SiriusXM FC, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.39	1.15
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Goal Attempts
17	10
Shots on Goal
8	3
Shots off Goal
7	4
Blocked Shots
2	3
Big Chances
1	1
Corner Kicks
10	10
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
7	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	7
Free Kicks
16	11
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
11	16
Yellow Cards
4	3
Throw-ins
16	20
Touches in the Opposition Box
29	44
Passes
86% (440/510)	93% (790/854)
Passes in the final third
76% (99/131)	87% (293/336)
Crosses
14% (4/28)	19% (5/27)
Tackles
69% (24/35)	76% (19/25)
Clearances Total
36	29
Interceptions
11	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Gallagher C. ⚽, de Paul R. (A),
39', Tchouameni A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Vinicius Junior 🟨,
65', Tchouameni A. ↓, Camavinga E. ↑,
65', Modric L. ↓, Lucas ↑,
66', Simeone G. 🟨,
68', Lenglet C. 🟨,
70', Vinicius Junior (Pen),
79', Rodrygo ↓, Diaz B. ↑,
83', Mendy F. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
85', Gallagher C. ↓, Lino S. ↑,
89', Simeone G. ↓, Correa A. ↑,
89', Griezmann A. ↓, Sorloth A. ↑,
90+4', de Paul R. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Lenglet C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
98', Mandava R. ↓, Azpilicueta C. ↑,
113', Azpilicueta C. 🟨,
115', Lucas 🟨,
115', Llorente M. 🟨,
115', Vinicius Junior ↓, Endrick ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Mbappe K. (Pen),
1, Sorloth A. (Pen),
2, Bellingham J. (Pen),
2, Alvarez J. (Pen),
3, Valverde F. (Pen),
3, Correa A. (Pen),
4, Lucas (Pen),
4, Llorente M. (Pen),
5, Rudiger A. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Atlético Madrid
35.5%

Draw
27.4%

Real Madrid
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.6%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

26.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↑ (2.61)	3.51 ↓ (3.61)	2.6 ↓ (2.63)	3.8% (4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)

Network on : Telemundo (KUTU-Tulsa, OK)

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid?

Users Predictions: 86 users predict this event. Atlético will win (votes: 30 - 34.9%). Real will win (votes: 26 - 30.2%). It will Tie (votes: 30 - 34.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético: 24.8% – 45%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-2.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético won 1.
Recent matches Atlético is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Real is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Real could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Atlético have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Real: Carvajal D. (Knee Injury) Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Eder Militao (Knee Injury) Vallejo J. (Thigh Injury)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 27:32 (average 1.4:1.6).
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Madrid won against Real Madrid?

Atlético Madrid has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Atlético Madrid?

Real Madrid has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid were as follows:

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1

08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1

29.09.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1

04.02.2024 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1

18.01.2024 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 4:2

Latest results of Atlético Madrid

09.03.2025 Getafe - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao 1:0 ✺

25.02.2025 Barcelona - Atlético Madrid 4:4 ✺

22.02.2025 Valencia - Atlético Madrid 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Real Madrid

09.03.2025 Real Madrid - Rayo Vallecano 2:1 ✺

04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Betis - Real Madrid 2:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Real Sociedad - Real Madrid 0:1 ✺

23.02.2025 Real Madrid - Girona 2:0 ✺

Draw

2025/26

1/8-finals

1	Rijeka	Bye
2	Ludogorets	Din. Minsk	2 : 2, 1 : 0
3	Noah	Buducnost	2 : 2, 1 : 0
4	Bye	Ferencvaros
5	TNS	Shkendija	1 : 2, 0 : 0
6	FCSB	Inter Escaldes	1 : 2, 3 : 1
7	Shelbourne	Linfield	1 : 1, 1 : 0
8	Bye	Qarabag
9	Lech Poznan	Bye
10	Egnatia	Breidablik	0 : 5, 1 : 0
11	Vikingur	Lincoln Red Imps	0 : 1, 2 : 3
12	Bye	Crvena zvezda
13	Zalgiris	Hamrun	0 : 3, 2 : 0
14	Bye	Dyn. Kyiv
15	Pafos	Bye
16	Bye	Maccabi Tel Aviv
17	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
24	Bye	Sturm Graz
25	Celtic	Bye
29	KuPS	Milsami	0 : 0, 1 : 0
30	O. Ljubljana	Kairat Almaty	0 : 2, 1 : 1
31	Slovan Bratislava	Bye
32	Virtus	Zrinjski	1 : 2, 0 : 2
33	Basel	Bye
37	Levadia	RFS	0 : 1, 0 : 1
38	Iberia 1999	Malmo FF	1 : 3, 1 : 3
39	FC Copenhagen	Bye
40	Drita	Differdange	3 : 2, 1 : 0
41	Feyenoord	Bye
44	Bye	Fenerbahce
45	Nice	Bye
48	Bye	Benfica
49	Rangers	Bye
50	Bye	Panathinaikos
51	Plzen	Bye
52	Bye	Servette
53	Brann	Bye
54	Bye	Salzburg
56	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Quarter-finals

1	Rijeka	Ludogorets	1 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Noah	Ferencvaros	3 : 4, 1 : 2
3	Shkendija	FCSB	2 : 1, 1 : 0
4	Shelbourne	Qarabag	0 : 1, 0 : 3
5	Lech Poznan	Breidablik	1 : 0, 7 : 1
6	Lincoln Red Imps	Crvena zvezda	1 : 5, 0 : 1
7	Hamrun	Dyn. Kyiv	0 : 3, 0 : 3
8	Pafos	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 : 0, 1 : 1
9	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
12	Bye	Sturm Graz
13	Celtic	Bye
15	KuPS	Kairat Almaty	0 : 3, 2 : 0
16	Slovan Bratislava	Zrinjski	2 : 2, 4 : 0
17	Basel	Bye
19	RFS	Malmo FF	0 : 1, 1 : 4
20	FC Copenhagen	Drita	1 : 0, 2 : 0
21	Feyenoord	Bye
22	Bye	Fenerbahce
23	Nice	Bye
24	Bye	Benfica
25	Rangers	Panathinaikos	1 : 1, 2 : 0
26	Plzen	Servette	3 : 1, 0 : 1
27	Brann	Salzburg	1 : 1, 1 : 4
28	Bye	Club Brugge KV

Semi-finals

1	Ludogorets	Ferencvaros	0 : 3, 0 : 0
2	Shkendija	Qarabag	1 : 5, 0 : 1
3	Lech Poznan	Crvena zvezda	1 : 1, 1 : 3
4	Dyn. Kyiv	Pafos	0 : 2, 0 : 1
5	Bodo/Glimt	Bye
6	Bye	Sturm Graz
7	Celtic	Bye
8	Kairat Almaty	Slovan Bratislava	1 : 1, 1 : 0
9	Basel	Bye
10	Malmo FF	FC Copenhagen	0 : 5, 0 : 0
11	Feyenoord	Fenerbahce	2 : 5, 2 : 1
12	Nice	Benfica	0 : 2, 0 : 2
13	Rangers	Plzen	1 : 2, 3 : 0
14	Salzburg	Club Brugge KV	2 : 3, 0 : 1

Final

1	Ferencvaros	Qarabag
2	Crvena zvezda	Pafos
3	Bodo/Glimt	Sturm Graz
4	Celtic	Kairat Almaty
5	Basel	FC Copenhagen
6	Fenerbahce	Benfica
7	Rangers	Club Brugge KV