Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
22/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga - Round 29
  • Referee: Munuera J. (Esp)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 4, CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport 5, Startimes Am'mobi, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 2
andorraAndorrabeIN Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV, Setanta Sports 2
bangladeshBangladeshBegin
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
boliviaBoliviaESPN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 3
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 4
canadaCanadaTSN+
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
cubaCubaTele Rebelde
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play, TV2 Sport
ecuadorEcuadorESPN
europeEuropeGo3 Sport 1 Baltic, Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2, Silk Universal
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 1
haitiHaitiCanal+ Sport 1
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
italyItaly20 Mediaset, 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
japanJapanDAZN Japan, U-NEXT
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kenyaKenyaGotv
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2, ART Sport 3
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 35 Sports
madagascarMadagascarUpTV
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesICE Xtra, Medianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 4
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Go, Ziggo Sport
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaTDM Desporto
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
spainSpainLaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
surinameSurinameQN Sports
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2, Varzish Sport
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeyS Sport, S Sport+
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaDAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2, Zor TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamSCTV 22, SCTV Online

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.411.01
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
107
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
41
Passes
91% (508/559)89% (451/504)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
2.411.01
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.57
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
107
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
11
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
96
Hit the woodwork
11
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
2419
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free kicks
152
Passes
91% (508/559)89% (451/504)
Long passes
56% (28/50)58% (15/26)
Passes in final third
84% (151/180)88% (122/139)
Crosses
14% (2/14)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.28
Throw ins
179
Fouls
215
Tackles
73% (8/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3537
Clearances
1523
Interceptions
26
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
55
xGOT faced
1.571.67
Goals prevented
-0.43-1.33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 27', Cardoso J. 🟨,
  • 33', 0 - 1, Lookman A. , Simeone G. (A),
  • 36', Ruggeri M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Le Normand R. , Gimenez J. M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Vinicius Junior (Penalty Awarded),
  • 55', 2 - 1, Valverde F. ,
  • 57', Griezmann A. , Sorloth A. ,
  • 57', Cardoso J. , Gonzalez N. ,
  • 57', Lookman A. , Molina N. ,
  • 61', Hancko D. 🟨,
  • 63', Pitarch T. 🟨,
  • 64', Pitarch T. , Mbappe K. ,
  • 64', Carvajal D. , Alexander-Arnold T. ,
  • 66', 2 - 2, Molina N. , Alvarez J. (A),
  • 68', Llorente M. 🟨,
  • 71', Simeone G. , Baena A. ,
  • 72', 3 - 2, Vinicius Junior , Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
  • 74', Guler A. , Bellingham J. ,
  • 74', Diaz B. , Camavinga E. ,
  • 77', Valverde F. 🟥,
  • 87', Vinicius Junior , Carreras A. ,

Chances of winning


Real Madrid
49.1%
Draw
24.7%
Atlético Madrid
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.8% 24% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 25.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Atlético Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.9)
    3.88
    (3.95)
    3.68
    (3.61)
    4.2%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid?
  • Users Predictions: 73 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 53 - 72.6%). Atlético will win (votes: 6 - 8.2%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 19.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 62.4%82.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Real (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Atlético (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Real (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Atlético (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 3.
    • Real is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Atlético's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Real: Ceballos D. (Muscle Injury) Courtois T. (Thigh Injury) Eder Militao (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Rodrygo (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Atlético: Barrios P. (Muscle Injury) Mendoza R. (Injury) Oblak J. (Muscle Injury) Pubill M. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:26. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Real won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid were as follows:
    08.01.2026 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:2
    27.09.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 5:2
    12.03.2025 Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid 1:1
    04.03.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 2:1
    08.02.2025 Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid 1:1
    Latest results of Real Madrid
    14.03.2026 Real Madrid - Elche 4:1
    02.03.2026 Real Madrid - Getafe 0:1
    Latest results of Atlético Madrid
    Spanish LaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barcelona ✔ 30251480:295176
    2Real Madrid30223564:283669
    3Villarreal30184854:351958
    4Atl. Madrid30176750:302057
    5Betis301112744:37745
    6Celta Vigo301111844:37744
    7Real Sociedad301181146:45141
    8Getafe301251327:31-441
    9Osasuna301081236:37-138
    10Espanyol301081236:44-838
    11Ath Bilbao301151432:43-1138
    12Girona309101132:44-1237
    13Rayo Vallecano308111129:35-635
    14Valencia30981334:45-1135
    15Alaves30881432:43-1132
    16Mallorca30871536:48-1231
    17Sevilla30871537:50-1331
    18Elche306111338:47-929
    19Levante30681634:50-1626
    20Oviedo30591621:48-2724

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ LaLiga2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )