Alianza Lima vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro
Result
0:1
06/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN
germanyGermanySport 1+
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
16.4%
Draw
24.9%
Atlético Mineiro
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.1% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 25.9% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.66
    (4.43)
    3.76
    (3.61)
    1.6
    (1.79)
    6.9%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    03.05.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Alianza Lima 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)