Alianza Lima vs Atlético Mineiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
06/06/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports
brazilBrazilESPN
germanyGermanySport 1+
portugalPortugalSport TV2

Highlights

Chances of winning


Alianza Lima
16.4%
Draw
24.9%
Atlético Mineiro
58.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.3% 26.1% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1% 25.9% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Mineiro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Mineiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.66
    (4.43)
    3.76
    (3.61)
    1.6
    (1.79)
    6.9%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro?
  • Users Predictions: Atlético Mineiro will win (21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 65.62%95.92%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Alianza Lima is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Alianza Lima could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Atlético MG is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Alianza Lima won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alianza Lima - Atlético Mineiro were as follows:
    03.05.2023 Atlético Mineiro - Alianza Lima 2:0
    Latest results of Alianza Lima
    Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ32107:257
    2Estudiantes L.P31204:315
    3Ind. Medellin31113:5-24
    4Cusco30031:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportes Tolima31114:314
    2Nacional31116:604
    3U. de Deportes31114:404
    4Coquimbo31113:4-14


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia33007:259
    2Bolivar31113:214
    3La Guaira30212:5-32
    4Fluminense30121:4-31


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors32015:236
    2U. Catolica32015:416
    3Cruzeiro32013:216
    4Barcelona SC30031:6-50


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Corinthians33006:069
    2Platense32014:406
    3Santa Fe30122:5-31
    4Penarol30122:5-31


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sporting Cristal32014:226
    2Palmeiras31204:315
    3Cerro Porteno31112:204
    4Junior30121:4-31


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito32013:126
    2Lanus32012:116
    3Mirassol32013:216
    4Always Ready30030:4-40


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central32104:047
    2Ind. del Valle32106:337
    3Universidad Central31024:7-33
    4Libertad Asuncion30033:7-40

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)