Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽, Rivera E. (A),
- 20', Ortega W. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. ⚽, Figueroa F. (A),
- 43', 2 - 1, del Campo R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 55', Rivera E. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 66', Martinez J. ↓,
- 66', Figueroa B. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 66', Sanchez J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 66', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 70', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
- 72', Meza U. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
- 74', del Campo R. ↓, Islas O. ↑,
- 75', Palma A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
- 82', Figueroa F. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Camacho Lastra R. E. (Pen),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Ledesma A. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
- 90+9', Munoz D. 🟨,
- 90+10', Martinez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
50.8% | Draw
25.6% | Leones Negros UdeG
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.85) |
3.63 ↓
(3.65) |
3.96 ↑
(3.85) |
7.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Atlético Morelia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Atlético Morelia has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Atlético Morelia?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
11.05.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético Morelia
2:0
03.05.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
20.03.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético Morelia
2:1
05.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:2
04.04.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun ✔ | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 24:5 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Atlante ✔ | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 28:9 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Tampico Madero ✔ | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 21:14 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Irapuato | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19:16 | 3 | 19 |
| 5 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 21:15 | 6 | 18 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:22 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Leones Negros | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:17 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Atl. Morelia | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 | Venados | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 24:28 | -4 | 15 |
| 10 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 24:24 | 0 | 14 |
| 11 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 14 |
| 12 | Tapatio | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 7:22 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Cancun is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Atlante is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tampico Madero is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
