Atlético Morelia vs Leones Negros UdeG – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
209
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
209
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
105
Corner Kicks
73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 14', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Munoz D. , Rivera E. (A),
  • 20', Ortega W. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. , Figueroa F. (A),
  • 43', 2 - 1, del Campo R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 55', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. , Torres D. ,
  • 55', Rivera E. , Camacho Lastra R. E. ,
  • 66', Martinez J. ,
  • 66', Figueroa B. , Nambo M. ,
  • 66', Sanchez J. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 66', Fierro C. , Perez J. ,
  • 70', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
  • 72', Meza U. , Aguayo J. ,
  • 74', del Campo R. , Islas O. ,
  • 75', Palma A. , Moreno G. ,
  • 82', Figueroa F. , Dominguez M. ,
  • 88', 2 - 2, Camacho Lastra R. E. (Pen),
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Ledesma A. , Munoz D. (A),
  • 90+9', Munoz D. 🟨,
  • 90+10', Martinez J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Atlético Morelia
50.8%
Draw
25.6%
Leones Negros UdeG
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.3% 25.5% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 21.5% 28.7%

Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(1.85)
3.63
(3.65)
3.96
(3.85)
7.5%
(7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético Morelia will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, Atlético Morelia is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia 2:0
    03.05.2025 Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG 2:0
    20.03.2025 Leones Negros UdeG - Atlético Morelia 2:1
    05.10.2024 Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG 0:2
    04.04.2024 Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG 0:2
    Latest results of Atlético Morelia
    Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Leones Negros (6)4 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Atlante (1)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)1 : 1, 0 : 1
    3Irapuato (4)Zacatecas Mineros (5)2 : 2, 1 : 1
    4Cancun (2)Atl. Morelia (7)1 : 1, 1 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Tampico Madero (3)Tepatitlan de Morelos (8)
    2Irapuato (4)Atl. Morelia (7)0 : 0