Result
2:3
26/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 13
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Munoz D. ⚽, Rivera E. (A),
- 20', Ortega W. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Vazquez B. ⚽, Figueroa F. (A),
- 43', 2 - 1, del Campo R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 55', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Torres D. ↑,
- 55', Rivera E. ↓, Camacho Lastra R. E. ↑,
- 66', Martinez J. ↓,
- 66', Figueroa B. ↓, Nambo M. ↑,
- 66', Sanchez J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 66', Fierro C. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
- 70', Camacho Lastra R. E. 🟨,
- 72', Meza U. ↓, Aguayo J. ↑,
- 74', del Campo R. ↓, Islas O. ↑,
- 75', Palma A. ↓, Moreno G. ↑,
- 82', Figueroa F. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Camacho Lastra R. E. (Pen),
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Ledesma A. ⚽, Munoz D. (A),
- 90+9', Munoz D. 🟨,
- 90+10', Martinez J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
50.8% | Draw
25.6% | Leones Negros UdeG
23.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Morelia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leones Negros UdeG could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.85) |
3.63 ↓
(3.65) |
3.96 ↑
(3.85) |
7.5%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Morelia will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- In this match, Atlético Morelia is considered a favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 9:16. (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Leones Negros UdeG?
Atlético Morelia has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leones Negros UdeG won against Atlético Morelia?
Leones Negros UdeG has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Leones Negros UdeG were as follows:
11.05.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético Morelia
2:0
03.05.2025
Atlético Morelia
-
Leones Negros UdeG
2:0
20.03.2025
Leones Negros UdeG
-
Atlético Morelia
2:1
05.10.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:2
04.04.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Leones Negros UdeG
0:2
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Leones Negros UdeG
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
