Result
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
52.1% | Draw
26.2% | Tapatío
21.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Morelia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Atlético Morelia - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.77 ↑
(1.75) |
3.52 ↓
(3.76) |
4.28 ↑
(4.25) |
8.1%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 0.
- Atlético Morelia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Atlético Morelia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tapatío?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Atlético Morelia?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Tapatío were as follows:
17.01.2025
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
1:0
02.08.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
1:4
17.02.2024
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
17.09.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
0:0
20.05.2023
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
