Result
0:0
11/10/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
 Usa | Aym Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Aguayo S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Castro A. ↓, Egurrola L. ↑,
- 59', Figueroa F. ↓, Islas O. ↑,
- 64', Zamora S. 🟨,
- 73', Palma A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 73', Martinez J. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 75', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
- 75', Aguayo S. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
- 82', Flores A. ↓, del Campo R. ↑,
- 86', Egurrola L. ↓, Torres C. ↑,
- 88', Moragrega V. ↓, Villaseca D. ↑,
- 90+3', Dominguez M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Villaseca D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Morelia
51.9% | Draw
24.7% | Tapatío
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Morelia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Tapatío has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Morelia that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Atlético Morelia - Tapatío Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.8 ↑
(1.75) |
3.79 ↑
(3.76) |
3.99 ↓
(4.25) |
7%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Atlético Morelia - Tapatío?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Morelia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Atlético Morelia will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 0.
- Atlético Morelia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Tapatío is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Atlético Morelia is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético Morelia won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Morelia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Morelia won against Tapatío?
Atlético Morelia has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tapatío won against Atlético Morelia?
Tapatío has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Morelia - Tapatío were as follows:
17.01.2025
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
1:0
02.08.2024
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
1:4
17.02.2024
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
0:0
17.09.2023
Atlético Morelia
-
Tapatío
0:0
20.05.2023
Tapatío
-
Atlético Morelia
2:2
Latest results of Atlético Morelia
Latest results of Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Morelia | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11:3 | 8 | 16 |
| 2 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Tapatio | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Tlaxcala | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Cancun | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Atlante | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Venados | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecas Mineros | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Leones Negros | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Jaiba Brava | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
