Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga
Result
0:1
13/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
south-americaSouth-americaRCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
usaUsaFanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.37
Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
266
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
84% (349/414)63% (132/208)
Yellow Cards
55
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.180.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.820.86
Total shots
266
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
111
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
112
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
288
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1012
Passes
84% (349/414)63% (132/208)
Long passes
66% (41/62)25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
73% (94/129)29% (14/49)
Crosses
32% (9/28)50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.830.25
Throw-ins
2620
Fouls
1411
Tackles
67% (2/3)75% (6/8)
Duels won
2429
Clearances
737
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
49
xGOT faced
0.860.82
Goals prevented
-0.140.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Henao C. , Sambueza F. (A),
  • 17', Henao C. 🟨,
  • 19', Morelos A. (Pen),
  • 31', Mosquera J. , Moreno N. ,
  • 33', Candido C. 🟨,
  • 44', Campuzano J. 🟨,
  • 44', Sambueza F. 🟨,
  • 44', Tesillo W. 🟨,
  • 45', Ospina D. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Charrupi F. 🟨,
  • 45+6', Charrupi F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Pons L. , Gutierrez A. ,
  • 46', Landazuri L. , Batista F. ,
  • 65', Sarmiento A. , Cardona E. ,
  • 70', Moreno N. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 73', Roman A. , Arce B. ,
  • 75', Duarte B. , Jhon Vasquez ,
  • 76', Sambueza F. , Medina G. ,
  • 76', Candido C. , Salazar A. ,
  • 90', Medina G. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cardona E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mw2psz6n

Chances of winning


Atlético Nacional
60.4%
Draw
23.6%
Atlético Bucaramanga
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.2% 25.5% 18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 25.6% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.63)
    3.91
    (3.6)
    5.88
    (5)
    7.1%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
    • Now, both teams are in good form.
    • Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
    28.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 2:0
    06.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 0:1
    29.01.2025 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1
    23.09.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    10.03.2024 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bucaramanga1483325:121327
    2Junior1474326:17925
    3Fortaleza1467119:13625
    4Ind. Medellin1273224:17724
    5Atl. Nacional1466223:16724
    6Deportes Tolima1472517:12523
    7Santa Fe1355315:11420
    8Dep. Cali1455419:19020
    9Alianza1455419:19020
    10Llaneros1454511:13-219
    11Once Caldas1344516:16016
    12Pereira1436512:14-215
    13U. Magdalena1443717:24-715
    14America De Cali1335510:11-114
    15Aguilas1335516:19-314
    16Millonarios1342714:19-514
    17Envigado1427511:14-313
    18Chico1426611:22-1112
    19Dep. Pasto1425715:21-611
    20La Equidad132567:18-1111

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )