Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/324) | 82% (275/336) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (247/324) | 82% (275/336) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (20/46) | 54% (26/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (41/65) | 67% (41/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 42% (5/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.65 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 38 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.28 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.28 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 18', Pons L. 🟨,
- 26', Aguirre Tabares J. F. 🟨,
- 36', Henao C. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 45', Castro J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hinestroza M. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Tesillo W. ↑,
- 46', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 58', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 62', Cardenas S. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
- 72', Pons L. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 73', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 81', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 81', Castaneda F. ↓, Zapata C. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Jhon Vasquez ⚽, Andrade A. (A),
- 90+2', Zapata J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yeypb6ay
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
32.3% | Draw
31.2% | Atlético Nacional
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↓
(3.76) |
3.02 ↓
(3.09) |
2.54 ↑
(2.06) |
6.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 1.
- Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Atlético Nacional?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
06.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
29.01.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
23.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
10.03.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
13.08.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 12 | U. Magdalena | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 7 |
| 14 | Aguilas | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 15 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Alianza | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
