Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.53 |
Ball Possession |
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49% | 51% |
Total shots |
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9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Passes |
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76% (247/324) | 82% (275/336) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 4 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.90 | 0.53 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.64 | 0.28 |
Total shots |
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9 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
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2 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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12 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 17 |
Passes |
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76% (247/324) | 82% (275/336) |
Long passes |
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43% (20/46) | 54% (26/48) |
Passes in final third |
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63% (41/65) | 67% (41/61) |
Crosses |
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54% (7/13) | 42% (5/12) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.93 | 0.65 |
Fouls |
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17 | 15 |
Tackles |
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83% (10/12) | 71% (10/14) |
Duels won |
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38 | 38 |
Clearances Total |
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14 | 11 |
Interceptions |
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5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.28 | 1.64 |
Goals prevented |
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0.28 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
- 18', Pons L. 🟨,
- 26', Aguirre Tabares J. F. 🟨,
- 36', Henao C. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Pons L. ⚽, Londono K. (A),
- 45', Castro J. 🟨,
- 45+4', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hinestroza M. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 46', Sarmiento A. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. ↓, Tesillo W. ↑,
- 46', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 58', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 62', Cardenas S. ↓, Penaranda A. ↑,
- 72', Pons L. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 73', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 81', Londono K. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 81', Castaneda F. ↓, Zapata C. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 0, Jhon Vasquez ⚽, Andrade A. (A),
- 90+2', Zapata J. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yeypb6ay
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga 32.3% | Draw 31.2% | Atlético Nacional 36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.96 ↓ (3.76) |
3.02 ↓ (3.09) |
2.54 ↑ (2.06) |
6.2% (7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 1.
- Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Atlético Nacional?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
06.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
29.01.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
23.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
10.03.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
13.08.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )