Atlético Bucaramanga vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Colombian Primera A Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional
Result
2:0
28/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera A - Apertura - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
colombiaColombiaWin+ Futbol, Win play
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.53
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
912
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
76% (247/324)82% (275/336)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.900.53
xG on target (xGOT)
1.640.28
Total shots
912
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
27
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1219
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1517
Passes
76% (247/324)82% (275/336)
Long passes
43% (20/46)54% (26/48)
Passes in final third
63% (41/65)67% (41/61)
Crosses
54% (7/13)42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.930.65
Fouls
1715
Tackles
83% (10/12)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3838
Clearances Total
1411
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
0.281.64
Goals prevented
0.28-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
  • 18', Pons L. 🟨,
  • 26', Aguirre Tabares J. F. 🟨,
  • 36', Henao C. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Pons L. , Londono K. (A),
  • 45', Castro J. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Zapata J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Hinestroza M. , Arce B. ,
  • 46', Sarmiento A. , Gil Mosquera F. A. ,
  • 46', Aguirre Tabares J. F. , Tesillo W. ,
  • 46', Flores L. , Zarate A. ,
  • 58', Parra Atehortua K. , Asprilla D. ,
  • 62', Cardenas S. , Penaranda A. ,
  • 72', Pons L. , Andrade A. ,
  • 73', Toscano Bassa K. D. , Rivero E. ,
  • 81', Londono K. , Jhon Vasquez ,
  • 81', Castaneda F. , Zapata C. ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Jhon Vasquez , Andrade A. (A),
  • 90+2', Zapata J. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yeypb6ay

Chances of winning


Atlético Bucaramanga
32.3%
Draw
31.2%
Atlético Nacional
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.7% 30.1% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4% 29.8% 45.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Bucaramanga's performance.
  • Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Bucaramanga that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (3.76)
    3.02
    (3.09)
    2.54
    (2.06)
    6.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 1.
    • Recent matches Bucaramanga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Atlético Nacional is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bucaramanga won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 20:26 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bucaramanga won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
    06.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 0:1
    29.01.2025 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1
    23.09.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 1:0
    10.03.2024 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0
    13.08.2023 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:1
    Latest results of Atlético Nacional
    Colombian Primera A Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Junior541013:5813
    2Llaneros53206:1511
    3Fortaleza52308:629
    4Santa Fe52306:429
    5Atl. Nacional52218:538
    6Ind. Medellin52127:707
    7Pereira52126:607
    8Deportes Tolima52124:407
    9Envigado41215:505
    10Chico51226:7-15
    11Alianza51225:7-25
    12La Equidad51223:5-25
    13Dep. Cali51224:8-45
    14Bucaramanga31116:514
    15Dep. Pasto21105:414
    16America De Cali31113:304
    17U. Magdalena41122:6-44
    18Aguilas50325:7-23
    19Once Caldas40135:9-41
    20Millonarios30030:3-30

          Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )