Atlético Nacional vs Atlético Bucaramanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	0.37
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
26	6
Shots on target
9	5
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Passes
84% (349/414)	63% (132/208)
Yellow Cards
5	5
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18	0.37
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.86
Total shots
26	6
Shots on target
9	5
Shots off target
11	1
Blocked Shots
6	0
Shots inside the Box
15	4
Shots outside the Box
11	2
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
28	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	5
Free Kicks
10	12
Passes
84% (349/414)	63% (132/208)
Long passes
66% (41/62)	25% (14/57)
Passes in final third
73% (94/129)	29% (14/49)
Crosses
32% (9/28)	50% (4/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.83	0.25
Throw-ins
26	20
Fouls
14	11
Tackles
67% (2/3)	75% (6/8)
Duels won
24	29
Clearances
7	37
Interceptions
5	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	9
xGOT faced
0.86	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.14	0.82

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Henao C. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
17', Henao C. 🟨,
19', Morelos A. (Pen),
31', Mosquera J. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
33', Candido C. 🟨,
44', Campuzano J. 🟨,
44', Sambueza F. 🟨,
44', Tesillo W. 🟨,
45', Ospina D. 🟨,
45+1', Charrupi F. 🟨,
45+6', Charrupi F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pons L. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
46', Landazuri L. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
65', Sarmiento A. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
70', Moreno N. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
73', Roman A. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
75', Duarte B. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
76', Sambueza F. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
76', Candido C. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
90', Medina G. 🟨,
90+3', Cardona E. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mw2psz6n

Chances of winning

Atlético Nacional
60.4%

Draw
23.6%

Atlético Bucaramanga
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

25.5%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

25.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)	3.91 ↑ (3.6)	5.88 ↑ (5)	7.1% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Atlético Bucaramanga?

Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Atlético Nacional?

Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:

28.03.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 2:0

06.02.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 0:1

29.01.2025 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 1:1

23.09.2024 Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional 1:0

10.03.2024 Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

07.09.2025 Independiente Medellín - Atlético Nacional 3:3 ✺

03.09.2025 Deportes Quindío - Atlético Nacional 2:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - Envigado 1:0 ✺

27.08.2025 Atlético Nacional - Deportes Quindío 4:0 ✺

24.08.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga

09.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

06.09.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar 3:1 ✺

03.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 2:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Deportivo Pereira - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional ✔	15	11	1	3	30:11	19	34
2	Dep. Pasto	15	8	4	3	21:17	4	28
3	Deportes Tolima	15	7	6	2	24:13	11	27
4	Once Caldas	15	6	7	2	26:19	7	25
5	Junior	15	8	1	6	21:20	1	25
6	America De Cali	15	7	3	5	19:12	7	24
7	Dep. Cali	15	6	4	5	17:13	4	22
8	Aguilas	15	6	4	5	16:17	-1	22
9	Inter Bogotu00e1	15	5	7	3	18:20	-2	22
10	Millonarios	15	6	3	6	25:17	8	21
11	Llaneros	15	4	8	3	16:14	2	20
12	Bucaramanga	15	4	7	4	18:14	4	19
13	Santa Fe	15	4	7	4	18:19	-1	19
14	Ind. Medellin	14	4	5	5	19:19	0	17
15	Fortaleza	15	3	7	5	17:23	-6	16
16	Cucuta	16	3	6	7	21:27	-6	15
17	Alianza	15	3	6	6	10:22	-12	15
18	Jaguares de Cordoba	16	4	2	10	14:28	-14	14
19	Chico	14	3	2	9	11:21	-10	11
20	Pereira	15	0	6	9	14:29	-15	6

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )

Clinched Spots for Teams

Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )