Result
13/09/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.37 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (349/414) | 63% (132/208) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (349/414) | 63% (132/208) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (41/62) | 25% (14/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (94/129) | 29% (14/49) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (9/28) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 0.25 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (2/3) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 24 | 29 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 7 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Henao C. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
- 17', Henao C. 🟨,
- 19', Morelos A. (Pen),
- 31', Mosquera J. ↓, Moreno N. ↑,
- 33', Candido C. 🟨,
- 44', Campuzano J. 🟨,
- 44', Sambueza F. 🟨,
- 44', Tesillo W. 🟨,
- 45', Ospina D. 🟨,
- 45+1', Charrupi F. 🟨,
- 45+6', Charrupi F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pons L. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 46', Landazuri L. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 65', Sarmiento A. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 70', Moreno N. ↓, Gil Mosquera F. A. ↑,
- 73', Roman A. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 75', Duarte B. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
- 76', Sambueza F. ↓, Medina G. ↑,
- 76', Candido C. ↓, Salazar A. ↑,
- 90', Medina G. 🟨,
- 90+3', Cardona E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
60.4% | Draw
23.6% | Atlético Bucaramanga
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.63) |
3.91 ↑
(3.6) |
5.88 ↑
(5) |
7.1%
(9.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Atlético Nacional has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Atlético Nacional?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Atlético Bucaramanga were as follows:
28.03.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
2:0
06.02.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
29.01.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:1
23.09.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Atlético Nacional
1:0
10.03.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 22:14 | 8 | 21 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 15:9 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Bucaramanga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:9 | 9 | 20 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 20 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 18:12 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 17 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 17 |
| 8 | Alianza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Pereira | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Envigado | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | Millonarios | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | La Equidad | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Chico | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | Dep. Pasto | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 19 | Aguilas | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 | America De Cali | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
