Result
1:1
18/03/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Betancur Gutierrez C. A. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/415) | 83% (363/439) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (337/415) | 83% (363/439) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (36/54) | 38% (22/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (110/163) | 67% (68/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/27) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (8/8) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Charrupi F. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Gomez P. ⚽, Sanchez L. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Batalla E. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 50', Londono K. 🟨,
- 67', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
- 68', Londono K. ↓, Mosquera J. ↑,
- 68', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
- 74', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,
- 86', Moreno D. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
- 86', Sanchez L. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
- 90+2', Charrupi F. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
- 90+2', Quinones J. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 90+8', Roa A. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/muzhztvn
Chances of winning
Atlético Bucaramanga
45.8% | Draw
28.9% | Once Caldas
25.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Bucaramanga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Bucaramanga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↑
(1.85) |
3.27 ↓
(3.28) |
3.7 ↓
(4.25) |
6.7%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bucaramanga: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0.
- In recent matches, Bucaramanga has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Once Caldas is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bucaramanga is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.7:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 0.6:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Bucaramanga won against Once Caldas?
Atlético Bucaramanga has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Atlético Bucaramanga?
Once Caldas has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas were as follows:
09.09.2025
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Once Caldas
0:0
09.02.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
11.08.2024
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
2:1
10.02.2024
Atlético Bucaramanga
-
Once Caldas
1:1
25.08.2023
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Bucaramanga
1:0
Latest results of Atlético Bucaramanga
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
