Result
3:1
19/07/2025 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 2
- Referee: Bismark S. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (527/576) | 84% (276/329) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (527/576) | 84% (276/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 71% (50/70) | 59% (24/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (73/102) | 56% (28/50) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | -1.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Zapata J. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Sarmiento A. ⚽, Hinestroza M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Monaco M. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 1, Parra Atehortua K. ⚽, Gonzalez F. (A),
- 52', Uribe M. 🟨,
- 53', Cardona E. 🟨,
- 68', 3 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽,
- 70', Uribe M. ↓, Rivero E. ↑,
- 70', Cardona E. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 76', Castilla J. ↓, Copete D. ↑,
- 78', Morelos A. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 87', Hinestroza M. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
- 87', Sarmiento A. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
- 87', Parra Atehortua K. ↓, Chaverra F. ↑,
- 87', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Pena D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/5y98bdsc
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
78.2% | Draw
14.5% | Deportivo La Equidad
7.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Nacional's performance.Deportivo La Equidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Nacional that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo La Equidad than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.21 ↓
(1.33) |
6.49 ↑
(4.5) |
12.43 ↑
(8.5) |
6.3%
(9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.
- Atlético Nacional has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- La Equidad has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- La Equidad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:16. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Deportivo La Equidad?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo La Equidad won against Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo La Equidad has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Deportivo La Equidad were as follows:
02.02.2025
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
30.07.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo La Equidad
0:1
25.02.2024
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Atlético Nacional
2:0
13.09.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Deportivo La Equidad
5:0
01.04.2023
Deportivo La Equidad
-
Atlético Nacional
0:0
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Deportivo La Equidad
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Junior | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Chico | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Pereira | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Alianza | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. Pasto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Llaneros | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | America De Cali | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | Envigado | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Ind. Medellin | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | La Equidad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 18 | Dep. Cali | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
