Result
01/05/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Once Caldas
32.3% | Draw
28.8% | Atlético Nacional
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.92 ↓
(2.93) |
3.22 ↑
(2.88) |
2.43 ↓
(2.59) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 0.
- Once Caldas has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:25. (average 0.6:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Atlético Nacional?
Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Once Caldas?
Atlético Nacional has won 6 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
22.10.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
2:0
09.10.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
11.07.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
1:3
19.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Atlético Nacional
1:2
01.06.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Once Caldas
0:0
Latest results of Once Caldas
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 18 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 35:14 | 21 | 40 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto ✔ | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 34 |
| 3 | Junior ✔ | 18 | 10 | 2 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima ✔ | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 26:16 | 10 | 30 |
| 5 | America De Cali ✔ | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 | Once Caldas ✔ | 18 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 25:23 | 2 | 28 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 18 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 26 |
| 9 | Dep. Cali | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:15 | 4 | 26 |
| 10 | Ind. Medellin | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 26 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 29:21 | 8 | 25 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:18 | 7 | 23 |
| 13 | Aguilas | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18:24 | -6 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 18 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 19 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 22:33 | -11 | 16 |
| 17 | Alianza | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11:25 | -14 | 16 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 18:33 | -15 | 15 |
| 19 | Chico | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 12:32 | -20 | 14 |
| 20 | Pereira | 18 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 15:31 | -16 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Dep. Pasto is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Junior is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Deportes Tolima is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
America De Cali is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
Once Caldas is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
