Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Palencia M. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.48 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/426) | 74% (205/277) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (359/426) | 74% (205/277) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 66% (53/80) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (79/115) | 48% (38/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (8/31) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 0.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', Arce B. 🟨,
- 21', 1 - 0, Balanta J. (Own goal),
- 36', 1 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽,
- 39', 1 - 2, Diaz Y. ⚽, Ricaurte A. (A),
- 41', Rivero E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Rivero E. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
- 46', Landazuri L. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 46', Arce B. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 53', Ricaurte A. 🟨,
- 57', Castro J. 🟨,
- 59', Sarmiento A. ↓, Morelos A. ↑,
- 63', Marulanda J. 🟨,
- 69', Amaya A. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 70', Marulanda J. ↓, Cabezas E. ↑,
- 74', Ricaurte A. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 81', 2 - 2, Moreno M. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
- 85', Florez K. ↓, Escorcia L. ↑,
- 88', Bauza J. ↓, Obando J. ↑,
- 90+2', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 90+9', Aristizabal E. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
58.1% | Draw
25.1% | Fortaleza CEIF
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Nacional's form might have worsened.Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza CEIF's recent form is better than expected.
Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.6 ↑
(1.3) |
3.74 ↓
(5.28) |
5.66 ↓
(9.6) |
6.9%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Atlético Nacional is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Fortaleza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Fortaleza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Atlético Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Atlético Nacional?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
04.03.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Nacional
1:5
27.10.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
05.04.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:10 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Ind. Medellin | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 16 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 16 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12:8 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | Llaneros | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atl. Nacional | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 14:8 | 6 | 13 |
| 7 | Pereira | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Santa Fe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 10 | Envigado | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Alianza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | U. Magdalena | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 | Aguilas | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 | Chico | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Dep. Pasto | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 | America De Cali | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 19 | Millonarios | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 20 | Once Caldas | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
