Result
1:5
04/03/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- COLOMBIA: Primera A - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Matorel L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (308/361) | 90% (443/493) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 73% (74/102) | 77% (72/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 27% (3/11) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 67% (6/9) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 4)
- 5', 0 - 1, Hinestroza M. ⚽, Zapata J. (A),
- 11', 1 - 1, Aristizabal E. ⚽, Florez K. (A),
- 20', 1 - 2, Cardona E. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
- 32', 1 - 3, Cardona E. (Pen),
- 40', 1 - 4, Arias J. J. ⚽, Cardona E. (A),
- 42', Cortez S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Florez K. ↓, Cuero S. ↑,
- 46', Ricaurte A. ↓, Salas J. ↑,
- 46', Balanta J. ↓, Cabeza E. ↑,
- 52', Cuero S. 🟨,
- 57', 1 - 5, Hinestroza M. ⚽, Candido C. (A),
- 65', Guzman S. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
- 66', Cardona E. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 66', Hinestroza M. ↓, Parra Atehortua K. ↑,
- 67', Candido C. 🟨,
- 77', Sanchez L. ↓, Salazar K. ↑,
- 77', Aristizabal E. ↓, Cordoba S. ↑,
- 79', Roman A. ↓, Castro J. ↑,
- 85', Morelos A. ↓, Arce B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fortaleza CEIF
23% | Draw
28.8% | Atlético Nacional
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético Nacional's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-5%)
Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4 ↑
(3.41) |
3.23 ↑
(2.99) |
1.96 ↓
(2.22) |
6.8%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Fortaleza will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortaleza: 19.1% – 73.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )).
- Recent matches Fortaleza is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético Nacional is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recently Atlético Nacional have a series of guest games.
- Atlético Nacional will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Fortaleza won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Fortaleza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Atlético Nacional?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Nacional has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
27.10.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
05.04.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 13 |
| 2 | Llaneros | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Fortaleza | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 4 | Santa Fe | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
| 6 | Ind. Medellin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Pereira | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Deportes Tolima | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Envigado | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 10 | Chico | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Alianza | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | La Equidad | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | Dep. Cali | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Bucaramanga | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 | Dep. Pasto | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 | America De Cali | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 3 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 1 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
