Result
4:1
12/02/2026 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 6
- Referee: Ortega C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.58 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (343/395) | 82% (271/329) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.09 | 0.58 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.48 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (343/395) | 82% (271/329) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 72% (31/43) | 51% (30/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (84/107) | 65% (39/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.31 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 89% (8/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 4.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', Balanta Carabali K. A. 🟨,
- 26', Morelos A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', Zapata J. 🟨,
- 34', 1 - 0, Morelos A. ⚽, Casco M. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Rivas Torres R. D. ↓, Wilke T. ↑,
- 49', Wilke T. 🟨,
- 53', 2 - 0, Casco M. ⚽, Sarmiento A. (A),
- 54', 2 - 1, Amaya A. ⚽, Navarro S. (A),
- 58', 3 - 1, Morelos A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Morelos A. 🟨,
- 67', Zapata J. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
- 67', Sarmiento A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 67', Amaya A. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 70', Wilke T. 🟨,
- 72', Uribe M. ↓, Cardona E. ↑,
- 73', Morelos A. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 75', 4 - 1, Moreno M. ⚽,
- 76', Balanta Carabali K. A. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 76', Navarro S. ↓, Sinisterra J. ↑,
- 78', Rodriguez N. ↓, Rosa J. ↑,
- 84', Arroyo A. ↓, Orozco C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Nacional
69.2% | Draw
20.3% | Fortaleza CEIF
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.37) |
4.61 ↑
(4.44) |
9.06 ↑
(7.97) |
7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Nacional: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético Nacional (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Atlético Nacional is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Fortaleza's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Atlético Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Fortaleza CEIF?
Atlético Nacional has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fortaleza CEIF won against Atlético Nacional?
Fortaleza CEIF has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Nacional - Fortaleza CEIF were as follows:
16.08.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Fortaleza CEIF
2:2
04.03.2025
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Nacional
1:5
27.10.2024
Fortaleza CEIF
-
Atlético Nacional
0:1
05.04.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Fortaleza CEIF
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Latest results of Fortaleza CEIF
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
