Result
2:1
18/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional, ViX Latin America |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (167/248) | 82% (358/437) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (167/248) | 82% (358/437) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (25/71) | 58% (39/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (60/101) | 70% (98/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 1.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 100% (8/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Rivas J. ⚽, Salazar J. (A),
- 32', Caballero J. 🟨,
- 35', Cardona E. 🟥,
- 45', Lara Vasquez N. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Morelos A. ⚽, Sarmiento A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lara Vasquez N. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Caballero J. ⚽,
- 52', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 56', Caicedo R. 🟨,
- 57', Toscano Bassa K. D. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
- 57', Torres Patino J. P. ↓, Viveros K. ↑,
- 63', Rivas J. 🟨,
- 71', Castro J. ↓, Hinestroza M. ↑,
- 71', Salazar A. ↓, Candido C. ↑,
- 75', Morelo W. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
- 78', Garcia S. 🟨,
- 83', Caballero J. ↓, Escobar Salcedo J. ↑,
- 87', Salazar J. ↓, Suarez Chalare F. A. ↑,
- 90', Aguilar F. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4378ant2
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
20.6% | Draw
28% | Atlético Nacional
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.56 ↓
(5.1) |
3.33 ↓
(3.7) |
1.82 ↑
(1.61) |
6.9%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Atlético Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
- Rionegro Águilas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlético Nacional is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Atlético Nacional is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Nacional?
Rionegro Águilas has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Rionegro Águilas?
Atlético Nacional has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
05.08.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
04.02.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
04.10.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
27.09.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
30.08.2023
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
2:0
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Junior | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 14 |
| 2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Llaneros | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Ind. Medellin | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Pereira | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 | Bucaramanga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Envigado | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Chico | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 13 | La Equidad | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Dep. Pasto | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 15 | Alianza | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 | U. Magdalena | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | America De Cali | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 18 | Aguilas | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 19 | Once Caldas | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 2 |
| 20 | Millonarios | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
