Result
1:2
07/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.66 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/268) | 79% (384/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.11 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (177/268) | 79% (384/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (25/78) | 48% (42/88) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 43% (38/89) | 64% (93/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 22% (5/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.24 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Arango C. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
- 45+8', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Suarez Chalare F. A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽, Campuzano J. (A),
- 55', Uribe M. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
- 55', Sarmiento A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
- 59', Roa J. 🟨,
- 62', Roa J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
- 62', Uruena B. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
- 65', Arboleda I. 🟨,
- 66', Rivaldo J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
- 69', Canozales C. 🟨,
- 74', 1 - 2, Rengifo J. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
- 75', Casco M. ↓, Parra N. ↑,
- 76', Morelos A. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
- 76', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
- 81', Moreno M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
- 90+2', Rodriguez N. ↓, Correa R. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yee4xf5j
Chances of winning
Rionegro Águilas
22.5% | Draw
26.6% | Atlético Nacional
51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.13 ↑
(3.96) |
3.5 ↑
(3.27) |
1.84 ↓
(1.95) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Nacional?
Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Rionegro Águilas?
Atlético Nacional has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:
08.11.2025
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
18.05.2025
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
2:1
05.08.2024
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
0:0
04.02.2024
Rionegro Águilas
-
Atlético Nacional
0:3
04.10.2023
Atlético Nacional
-
Rionegro Águilas
2:1
Latest results of Rionegro Águilas
Latest results of Atlético Nacional
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 33:13 | 20 | 37 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 31 |
| 3 | Junior | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 28 |
| 4 | Deportes Tolima | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 27 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 20:21 | -1 | 25 |
| 7 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 23 |
| 9 | Bucaramanga | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 23:14 | 9 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:18 | 8 | 22 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 16 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 17:15 | 2 | 21 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21:22 | -1 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 11:26 | -15 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 16 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
