Rionegro Águilas vs Atlético Nacional – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Alberto Grisales (Rionegro).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.31	1.66
Ball possession
35%	65%
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
1	7
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
1	6
Passes
66% (177/268)	79% (384/489)
Yellow cards
3	2
Expected goals (xG)
0.31	1.66
xG on target (xGOT)
0.11	1.35
Total shots
9	18
Shots on target
1	7
Shots off target
6	8
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
1	9
Shots outside the box
8	9
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
4	22
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
21	12
Passes
66% (177/268)	79% (384/489)
Long passes
32% (25/78)	48% (42/88)
Passes in final third
43% (38/89)	64% (93/146)
Crosses
8% (1/12)	22% (5/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.18	1.24
Throw ins
9	13
Fouls
12	21
Tackles
58% (7/12)	69% (9/13)
Duels won
53	50
Clearances
21	17
Interceptions
13	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	0
xGOT faced
1.35	0.11
Goals prevented
-0.65	-0.89

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', Arango C. ↓, Asprilla D. ↑,
45+8', 1 - 0, Rivaldo J. ⚽, Suarez Chalare F. A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Avalo Trejos J. E. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Asprilla D. ⚽, Campuzano J. (A),
55', Uribe M. ↓, Rengifo J. ↑,
55', Sarmiento A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
59', Roa J. 🟨,
62', Roa J. ↓, Obregon J. ↑,
62', Uruena B. ↓, Canozales C. ↑,
65', Arboleda I. 🟨,
66', Rivaldo J. ↓, Benitez Hernandez R. A. ↑,
69', Canozales C. 🟨,
74', 1 - 2, Rengifo J. ⚽, Morelos A. (A),
75', Casco M. ↓, Parra N. ↑,
76', Morelos A. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
76', Suarez Chalare F. A. ↓, Ricaurte A. ↑,
81', Moreno M. 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguez N. 🟨,
90+2', Rodriguez N. ↓, Correa R. ↑,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/yee4xf5j

Chances of winning

Rionegro Águilas
22.5%

Draw
26.6%

Atlético Nacional
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

28.5%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

28%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rionegro Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rionegro Águilas than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.96)	3.5 ↑ (3.27)	1.84 ↓ (1.95)	7.2% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Rionegro Águilas will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Atlético Nacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Atlético Nacional is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 17:29. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rionegro Águilas won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.2:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Rionegro Águilas won against Atlético Nacional?

Rionegro Águilas has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Nacional won against Rionegro Águilas?

Atlético Nacional has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional were as follows:

08.11.2025 Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas 2:1

18.05.2025 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional 2:1

05.08.2024 Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas 0:0

04.02.2024 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional 0:3

04.10.2023 Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas 2:1

Latest results of Rionegro Águilas

01.03.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Inter Bogotá 0:0 ✺

22.02.2026 Boyacá Chicó - Rionegro Águilas 0:1 ✺

15.02.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Bucaramanga Postponed ✺

11.02.2026 Millonarios - Rionegro Águilas 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Rionegro Águilas - Cúcuta Deportivo 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Atlético Nacional

04.03.2026 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 1:3 ✺

01.03.2026 Deportes Tolima - Atlético Nacional 1:0 ✺

25.02.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Nacional 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar 3:0 ✺

15.02.2026 Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional 1:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Atl. Nacional	12	9	0	3	26:9	17	27
2	Dep. Pasto	12	7	3	2	18:14	4	24
3	Once Caldas	13	6	5	2	24:17	7	23
4	Inter Bogotu00e1	13	5	6	2	17:18	-1	21
5	Millonarios	13	6	2	5	23:14	9	20
6	America De Cali	11	6	2	3	16:8	8	20
7	Deportes Tolima	12	5	5	2	15:9	6	20
8	Bucaramanga	11	4	7	0	16:6	10	19
9	Junior	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
10	Dep. Cali	13	4	4	5	14:12	2	16
11	Aguilas	12	4	4	4	12:12	0	16
12	Llaneros	12	3	6	3	14:13	1	15
13	Santa Fe	12	3	6	3	14:15	-1	15
14	Fortaleza	12	3	5	4	13:18	-5	14
15	Ind. Medellin	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
16	Jaguares de Cordoba	13	3	2	8	11:23	-12	11
17	Alianza	12	2	5	5	7:19	-12	11
18	Chico	12	2	2	8	10:20	-10	8
19	Cucuta	12	1	4	7	16:25	-9	7
20	Pereira	11	0	5	6	10:22	-12	5

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )