Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Valle J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
South-america | ViX Latin America |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 0.59 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
84% (401/480) | 81% (351/435) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.50 | 0.59 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.30 | 0.85 |
Total shots |
---|
14 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 4 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
21 | 18 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
84% (401/480) | 81% (351/435) |
Long passes |
---|
51% (34/67) | 54% (27/50) |
Passes in final third |
---|
69% (80/116) | 63% (60/95) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (6/16) | 29% (4/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.03 | 0.83 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 71% (12/17) |
Duels won |
---|
39 | 43 |
Clearances Total |
---|
12 | 9 |
Interceptions |
---|
17 | 13 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.85 | 2.30 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.15 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Dourado ⚽, Salles-Lamonge S. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Benedetti N. ⚽, Torres A. (A),
- 33', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Almada F. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 46', Sierra J. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 78', Godinez S. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 79', Samir Caetano 🟨,
- 80', Abitia D. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 80', Vitinho ↓, Najera R. ↑,
- 83', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 86', Torres A. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
- 89', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis 45.1% | Draw 27.3% | Mazatlan 27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-1%)
Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.09 ↑ (2.04) |
3.4 ↓ (3.56) |
3.42 ↓ (3.48) |
6.6% (5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
Atlético San Luis will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Atlético San Luis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Atlético San Luis will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Colula B.
(Injury)
Meraz R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Mazatlan?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlético San Luis?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan were as follows:
12.07.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
2:2
12.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
22.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
3:2
02.04.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
2:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )