Mazatlan vs Atlético San Luis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.05
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (275/342)83% (310/375)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.630.58
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
80% (275/342)83% (310/375)
Long passes
48% (25/52)36% (12/33)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)71% (69/97)
Crosses
25% (5/20)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.87
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1514
Tackles
93% (13/14)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
1529
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.580.63
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. , Macias O. (A),
  • 35', Benedetti N. 🟨,
  • 42', Merolla L. 🟨,
  • 45', Macias O. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Sanabria J. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Sierra J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Merolla L. , Meraz R. ,
  • 46', Zaleta M. , Lainez M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Sierra J. , Lainez M. (A),
  • 63', Benedetti N. , Dudu ,
  • 68', Macias O. , Rodrigo Dourado ,
  • 68', Galdames B. , Cruz A. ,
  • 73', Duarte A. , Colula B. ,
  • 76', Colula B. 🟨,
  • 79', Perez S. , Klimowicz M. ,
  • 83', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Garcia M. , Marchand J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Colula B. , Lainez M. (A),
  • 90+9', Barcenas Y. , Diaz J. ,
  • 90+10', Dudu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mazatlan
37.7%
Draw
26.7%
Atlético San Luis
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27.3% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 28% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.44)
    3.54
    (3.47)
    2.65
    (2.8)
    5.7%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury) Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno Villegas O. F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan 2:1
    12.07.2024 Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis 2:2
    12.01.2024 Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis 0:1
    22.09.2023 Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan 3:2
    02.04.2023 Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan 2:1
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    27.09.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:1
    23.09.2025 Club León - Mazatlan 2:2
    19.09.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 1:1
    12.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:4
    29.08.2025 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético San Luis
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca ✔ 14102239:162332
    2Tigres UANL ✔ 1595131:141732
    3Cruz Azul ✔ 1595127:171032
    4Club America ✔ 1594231:161531
    5Monterrey ✔ 1593330:24630
    6Guadalajara Chivas1572624:20423
    7Club Tijuana1556426:19721
    8Pachuca1463519:17221
    9Juarez1555524:25-120
    10Atl. San Luis1451820:20016
    11Atlas1544724:33-916
    12UNAM Pumas1536617:22-515
    13Santos Laguna1442817:23-614
    14Queretaro1442815:25-1014
    15Mazatlan FC1527619:27-813
    16Club Leon1534813:27-1413
    17Necaxa1424815:27-1210
    18Puebla15231019:38-199

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)