Mazatlan vs Atlético San Luis – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis
Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
  • Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaTUDN App, TUDN

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.05
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
33
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
80% (275/342)83% (310/375)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.821.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.630.58
Total shots
1215
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
98
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
610
Shots outside the Box
65
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
80% (275/342)83% (310/375)
Long passes
48% (25/52)36% (12/33)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)71% (69/97)
Crosses
25% (5/20)36% (9/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.87
Throw-ins
1119
Fouls
1514
Tackles
93% (13/14)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5161
Clearances
1529
Interceptions
114
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.580.63
Goals prevented
-0.42-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', 0 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. , Macias O. (A),
  • 35', Benedetti N. 🟨,
  • 42', Merolla L. 🟨,
  • 45', Macias O. 🟨,
  • 45+4', Sanabria J. 🟨,
  • 45+7', Sierra J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Merolla L. , Meraz R. ,
  • 46', Zaleta M. , Lainez M. ,
  • 52', 1 - 1, Sierra J. , Lainez M. (A),
  • 63', Benedetti N. , Dudu ,
  • 68', Macias O. , Rodrigo Dourado ,
  • 68', Galdames B. , Cruz A. ,
  • 73', Duarte A. , Colula B. ,
  • 76', Colula B. 🟨,
  • 79', Perez S. , Klimowicz M. ,
  • 83', Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 84', 🟨,
  • 90+1', Garcia M. , Marchand J. ,
  • 90+6', 2 - 1, Colula B. , Lainez M. (A),
  • 90+9', Barcenas Y. , Diaz J. ,
  • 90+10', Dudu 🟨,

Chances of winning


Mazatlan
37.7%
Draw
26.7%
Atlético San Luis
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.9% 27.3% 33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 28% 34.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.44)
    3.54
    (3.47)
    2.65
    (2.8)
    5.7%
    (5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A. (Injury) Intriago J. (Hamstring Injury) Moreno Villegas O. F. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
    05.04.2025 Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan 2:1
    12.07.2024 Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis 2:2
    12.01.2024 Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis 0:1
    22.09.2023 Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan 3:2
    02.04.2023 Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan 2:1
    Latest results of Mazatlan
    27.09.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:1
    23.09.2025 Club León - Mazatlan 2:2
    19.09.2025 Mazatlan - Atlas 1:1
    12.09.2025 Mazatlan - UNAM 1:4
    29.08.2025 Juárez - Mazatlan 1:0
    Latest results of Atlético San Luis
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca1291235:161928
    2Club America1283126:111527
    3Cruz Azul1274122:15725
    4Monterrey1181223:17625
    5Tigres UANL1265122:101223
    6Pachuca1262416:13320
    7Club Tijuana1154221:111019
    8Juarez1253416:15118
    9Guadalajara Chivas1142516:17-114
    10UNAM Pumas1134414:17-313
    11Atlas1234521:27-613
    12Club Leon1233612:22-1012
    13Mazatlan FC1225515:21-611
    14Queretaro1232714:21-711
    15Atl. San Luis1231817:20-310
    16Santos Laguna1231813:21-810
    17Necaxa1223711:21-109
    18Puebla1212910:29-195

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