Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 12
- Referee: Lopez I. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/342) | 83% (310/375) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (275/342) | 83% (310/375) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (25/52) | 36% (12/33) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 71% (69/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 36% (9/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.87 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (13/14) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽, Macias O. (A),
- 35', Benedetti N. 🟨,
- 42', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 45', Macias O. 🟨,
- 45+4', Sanabria J. 🟨,
- 45+7', Sierra J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Merolla L. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 46', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Sierra J. ⚽, Lainez M. (A),
- 63', Benedetti N. ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 68', Macias O. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
- 68', Galdames B. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 73', Duarte A. ↓, Colula B. ↑,
- 76', Colula B. 🟨,
- 79', Perez S. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 83', Garcia M. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 90+1', Garcia M. ↓, Marchand J. ↑,
- 90+6', 2 - 1, Colula B. ⚽, Lainez M. (A),
- 90+9', Barcenas Y. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 90+10', Dudu 🟨,
Chances of winning
Mazatlan
37.7% | Draw
26.7% | Atlético San Luis
35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(2.44) |
3.54 ↑
(3.47) |
2.65 ↓
(2.8) |
5.7%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mazatlan will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 0.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Herrera A.
(Injury)
Intriago J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Moreno Villegas O. F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Mazatlan won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:17. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mazatlan won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlético San Luis?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Mazatlan?
Atlético San Luis has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
05.04.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
2:1
12.07.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
2:2
12.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
22.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
3:2
02.04.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
2:1
Latest results of Mazatlan
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca ✔ | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 39:16 | 23 | 32 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 31:14 | 17 | 32 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul ✔ | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 27:17 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Club America ✔ | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 31:16 | 15 | 31 |
| 5 | Monterrey ✔ | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 30:24 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 24:20 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 21 |
| 8 | Pachuca | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Juarez | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Atlas | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24:33 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | UNAM Pumas | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 14 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 14 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 19:27 | -8 | 13 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 13 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:27 | -12 | 10 |
| 18 | Puebla | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:38 | -19 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Toluca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Tigres UANL is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Cruz Azul is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Monterrey is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
