Result
4:1
03/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Peinaldo Aguirre Y. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.39 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/424) | 83% (279/337) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (359/424) | 83% (279/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (40/62) | 52% (26/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (94/127) | 71% (55/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.27 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | -1.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Macias O. 🟨,
- 17', Merolla L. 🟨,
- 34', Almada F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Flores L. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 47', Lucas Esteves 🟨,
- 50', 1 - 0, Merolla L. (Own goal),
- 57', 2 - 0, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Medina J. (A),
- 63', Godinez S. ↓, Esquivel J. ↑,
- 64', Zaleta M. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 64', Gonzalez I. ↓, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. ↑,
- 70', Dudu ↓, Arce B. ↑,
- 71', Rubio B. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
- 73', Macias O. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 1, Ovalle J. ⚽, Lainez M. (A),
- 78', Esquivel J. 🟨,
- 79', 3 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. ⚽,
- 82', Torres R. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 88', Lucas Esteves ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 88', Medina J. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
- 90', 4 - 1, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
- 90+6', Salles-Lamonge S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
55.8% | Draw
24.9% | Mazatlan
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.55) |
3.76 ↑
(3.75) |
4.82 ↓
(5.15) |
7%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Mazatlan will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 3.
- Atlético San Luis is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mazatlan has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Atlético San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético San Luis is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Santos S.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Castro C.
(Injury)
Fabio Gomes
(Inactive)
Sierra J.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:18. (average 1.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1.6:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Mazatlan?
Atlético San Luis has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlético San Luis?
Mazatlan has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan were as follows:
19.12.2025
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
2:3
03.10.2025
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
05.04.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
2:1
12.07.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
2:2
12.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
