Result
2:1
05/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 14
- Referee: Valle J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (401/480) | 81% (351/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.30 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (401/480) | 81% (351/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (34/67) | 54% (27/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (80/116) | 63% (60/95) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (6/16) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 0.83 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 43 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Rodrigo Dourado ⚽, Salles-Lamonge S. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Benedetti N. ⚽, Torres A. (A),
- 33', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
- 36', 2 - 1, Salles-Lamonge S. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Almada F. ↓, Pizarro R. ↑,
- 46', Sierra J. ↓, Lainez M. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 78', Godinez S. ↓, Meraz R. ↑,
- 79', Samir Caetano 🟨,
- 80', Abitia D. ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
- 80', Vitinho ↓, Najera R. ↑,
- 83', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 86', Torres A. ↓, Intriago J. ↑,
- 89', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Martinez S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
45.1% | Draw
27.3% | Mazatlan
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Mazatlan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazatlan than the current prediction. (-1%)
Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.04) |
3.4 ↓
(3.56) |
3.42 ↓
(3.48) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan?
Users Predictions:
Atlético San Luis will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 3.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Atlético San Luis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Atlético San Luis will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Boli F.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Mazatlan: Barcenas Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Mazatlan: Colula B.
(Injury)
Meraz R.
(Hamstring Injury)
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:13 (average 1.7:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Mazatlan?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan won against Atlético San Luis?
Mazatlan has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Mazatlan were as follows:
12.07.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
2:2
12.01.2024
Mazatlan
-
Atlético San Luis
0:1
22.09.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
3:2
02.04.2023
Atlético San Luis
-
Mazatlan
2:1
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Mazatlan
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 12 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:7 | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Club America | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
| 5 | Toluca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 9 |
| 7 | Club Tijuana | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:9 | 1 | 9 |
| 8 | Juarez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 | Santos Laguna | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 | Mazatlan FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 15 | Atlas | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10:14 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 4 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
