Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.03 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 81% (348/429) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.98 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (281/363) | 81% (348/429) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/60) | 56% (36/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (67/106) | 68% (73/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.02 | -0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Idrissi O. 🟨,
- 14', 0 - 1, Perez S. ⚽, Garcia M. (A),
- 31', Pedraza P. 🟨,
- 33', Sanchez A. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 1, Valencia E. (Pen),
- 40', 2 - 1, Sanabria J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Idrissi O. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 46', Pedraza P. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
- 46', Garcia M. ↓, Yan Phillipe ↑,
- 60', Salles-Lamonge S. ↓, Rodrigo Dourado ↑,
- 60', Galdames B. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
- 73', Joao Pedro Galvao 🟨,
- 74', Valencia E. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 76', 🟨,
- 78', Perez S. ↓, Joao Louranco ↑,
- 80', Kenedy ↓, Togni G. ↑,
- 86', Torres R. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 87', Quinones L. ↓, Berlanga J. ↑,
- 88', Berlanga J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pachuca
56.4% | Draw
22.5% | Atlético San Luis
21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pachuca's form might have worsened.Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético San Luis's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+10.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pachuca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Pachuca - Atlético San Luis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.43) |
4.24 ↓
(4.78) |
4.56 ↓
(6.03) |
5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Pachuca - Atlético San Luis?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Atlético San Luis (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Atlético San Luis (4.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Atlético San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Pachuca is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Pachuca: Dominguez A.
(International duty)
Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Montiel E.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Carvalho W.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético San Luis: Juanpe
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Pachuca won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pachuca won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Atlético San Luis?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Pachuca?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pachuca - Atlético San Luis were as follows:
20.04.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Pachuca
2:1
16.07.2024
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:0
17.03.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Pachuca
2:1
28.08.2023
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
0:2
22.04.2023
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
Latest results of Pachuca
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | UNAM Pumas | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Toluca | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 14 |
| 6 | Atlas | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 13 |
| 7 | Club America | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:3 | 4 | 11 |
| 8 | Tigres UANL | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:8 | 3 | 10 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 10 |
| 10 | Necaxa | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 9 |
| 11 | Club Tijuana | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Club Leon | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Queretaro | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Puebla | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 16 | Juarez | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7:21 | -14 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
