Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 17
- Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/372) | 82% (350/427) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 2.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.03 | 3.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 26 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (298/372) | 82% (350/427) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (25/60) | 56% (34/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (65/98) | 78% (109/140) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/20) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.85 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.25 | 2.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Montiel E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Leo Bonatini ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 50', Berlanga J. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
- 55', Rodrigo Dourado 🟨,
- 63', Sigala J. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 0, Macias O. ⚽,
- 74', Idrissi O. 🟨,
- 79', John Kennedy ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
- 79', Pedraza P. ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Hernandez I. ⚽,
- 85', Vitinho ↓, Abitia D. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 1, Torres R. ⚽,
- 88', Lopez J. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
24.3% | Draw
22.3% | Pachuca
53.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Atlético San Luis - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.88 ↓
(4.28) |
4.2 ↑
(3.59) |
1.77 ↓
(1.81) |
6%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Pachuca will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pachuca: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Pachuca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Pachuca is Qualified for Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In )
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 2.
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- In this match Pachuca is a favorite.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Leo Bonatini
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez E.
(Foot Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Atlético San Luis won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19:27 (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético San Luis won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:15 (average 1.1:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Pachuca?
Atlético San Luis has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Atlético San Luis?
Pachuca has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Pachuca were as follows:
16.07.2024
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:0
17.03.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Pachuca
2:1
28.08.2023
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
0:2
22.04.2023
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
18.09.2022
Atlético San Luis
-
Pachuca
1:2
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
