Result
1:1
14/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/364) | 82% (375/457) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.96 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (292/364) | 82% (375/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 56% (42/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (48/76) | 72% (106/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 12 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (12/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.04 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', Dominguez J. 🟨,
- 32', Macias O. 🟨,
- 41', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Joao Pedro Galvao ⚽, Perez S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Idrissi O. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 46', Rodriguez S. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 54', Torres R. 🟨,
- 61', Dominguez A. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 62', Valencia E. 🟨,
- 63', Medina J. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
- 75', Perez S. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 81', Lopez R. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
- 88', Kenedy ↓, Alvarez G. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽, Guzman V. (A),
- 90+3', Macias O. ↓, Barajas F. ↑,
- 90+3', Lucas Esteves ↓, Flores L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético San Luis
30.8% | Draw
27.6% | Pachuca
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético San Luis's form might have worsened.Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético San Luis - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.55) |
3.39 ↑
(3.24) |
2.27 ↓
(2.65) |
6.4%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético San Luis - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Atlético San Luis will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- DNB - Atlético San Luis (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Atlético San Luis (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 3.
- Atlético San Luis has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Pachuca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Atlético San Luis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Atlético San Luis: Aguila E.
(Red Card)
Lopez De Alba C. I.
(Knee Injury)
Robson Bambu
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
Sanchez C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Atlético San Luis won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:30. (average 1.2:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético San Luis won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético San Luis won against Pachuca?
Atlético San Luis has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Atlético San Luis?
Pachuca has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético San Luis - Pachuca were as follows:
27.09.2025
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:1
20.04.2025
Atlético San Luis
-
Pachuca
2:1
16.07.2024
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
2:0
17.03.2024
Atlético San Luis
-
Pachuca
2:1
28.08.2023
Pachuca
-
Atlético San Luis
0:2
Latest results of Atlético San Luis
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
