Result
2:1
11/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Colman A. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 81% (368/456) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (333/407) | 81% (368/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (28/52) | 43% (31/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (86/125) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 38% (5/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.22 | 1.47 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.53 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Caballero H. 🟥,
- 15', 1 - 0, Candia W. ⚽, Esteche J. F. (A),
- 17', Cardozo O. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 38', Gimenez N. 🟨,
- 44', Rojas R. ↓, Rios R. ↑,
- 45', 1 - 1, Fernandez H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez M. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 56', Esteche J. F. ↓, Gudino G. ↑,
- 56', Zarate D. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 74', Rojas R. ↓, Troche A. ↑,
- 78', Candia W. ↓, Ortiz I. ↑,
- 78', Alonso W. ↓, Cristaldo A. ↑,
- 80', Espinoza M. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 80', Acuna O. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 81', Colman D. 🟥,
- 90+2', 2 - 1, Charpentier P. ⚽, Cristaldo A. (A),
Chances of winning
Atlético Tembetary
19.2% | Draw
28.6% | Libertad Asuncion
52.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Tembetary has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.08 ↑
(4.9) |
3.45 ↓
(3.64) |
2.01 ↑
(1.68) |
-1.6%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tembetary (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Libertad Asuncion will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 9).
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Tembetary may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tembetary has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tembetary won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Tembetary won against Libertad Asuncion?
Atlético Tembetary has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Atlético Tembetary?
Libertad Asuncion has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Tembetary - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
31.07.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Atlético Tembetary
3:1
04.05.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Atlético Tembetary
0:0
22.02.2025
Atlético Tembetary
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:2
Latest results of Atlético Tembetary
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
