Guaraní Asuncion vs Atlético Tembetary – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/10/2025 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 15
  • Referee: Lopez D. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDirecTV Sports
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.58
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
70% (178/256)78% (334/429)
Yellow Cards
15
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.560.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.790.29
Total shots
1010
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
35
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1712
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
199
Passes
70% (178/256)78% (334/429)
Long passes
45% (30/66)44% (30/68)
Passes in final third
46% (38/82)56% (70/126)
Crosses
20% (3/15)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.46
Throw-ins
3021
Fouls
919
Tackles
71% (12/17)68% (15/22)
Duels won
5854
Clearances
2931
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
0.290.79
Goals prevented
0.29-0.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 6', Torales R. 🟥,
  • 16', Olmedo S. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Colman D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Pereira B. , Zarate D. ,
  • 46', Colman D. , Cristaldo A. ,
  • 47', Cristaldo A. 🟨,
  • 53', Alonso W. 🟨,
  • 64', Martinez L. , Maiz A. ,
  • 64', Fernandez F. , Pereira A. ,
  • 66', Esteche J. F. , Silva C. ,
  • 66', Candia W. , Ortiz I. ,
  • 71', Cristaldo A. , Toledo J. ,
  • 72', Toledo J. 🟨,
  • 82', Jhon Sanchez , Fernandez D. ,
  • 82', Servin T. , Coronel P. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 0, Fernandez D. , Barbotte A. (A),
  • 90+8', Fernandez D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Guaraní Asuncion
52.5%
Draw
28.9%
Atlético Tembetary
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 30% 19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1% 28.9% 19.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guaraní Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Atlético Tembetary has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Tembetary than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.86)
    3.6
    (3.12)
    5.37
    (4.7)
    -4.9%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -1 - Guaraní (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Guaraní (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 and 12).
    • Guaraní is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tembetary is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Guaraní may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Guaraní has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Guaraní is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion 0:1
    21.05.2025 Atlético Tembetary - Guaraní Asuncion 1:2
    14.03.2025 Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 0:0
    10.11.2022 Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Tembetary 3:2
    Latest results of Guaraní Asuncion
    Paraguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia Asuncion18133231:121942
    2Cerro Porteno18104426:17934
    3Ameliano1878322:15729
    4Nacional Asuncion1878325:19629
    5Libertad Asuncion1983830:22827
    6Sportivo Trinidense1968524:20426
    7Guarani1867525:20525
    8Recoleta1864827:24322
    9Rubio Nu1964914:21-722
    10Sp. Luqueno19541021:28-719
    112 de Mayo1946916:34-1818
    12San Lorenzo19151312:41-298

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