Result
1:1
12/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 16
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.70 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (390/478) | 74% (253/344) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (390/478) | 74% (253/344) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (17/47) | 49% (32/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (63/97) | 61% (79/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Gauto N. ↓, Gonzalez L. ↑,
- 46', Mana N. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Recalde J. ⚽,
- 55', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
- 60', Molinas A. ↓, Sanabria L. ↑,
- 61', Martinez C. ↓, Campuzano A. ↑,
- 66', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Gimenez N. ↑,
- 66', Carrizo F. ↓, Aguilar G. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Romero F. (Penalty Awarded),
- 75', Ramirez I. ↓, Villalba E. ↑,
- 82', Romero F. ↓, Camacho N. ↑,
- 82', Gonzalez C. ↓, Gimenez O. ↑,
- 82', Morinigo A. ↓, Zarza P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
36% | Draw
31.2% | Sportivo Trinidense
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Libertad Asuncion's form might have worsened.Sportivo Trinidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo Trinidense's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+19.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Libertad Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo Trinidense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↑
(1.78) |
2.98 ↓
(3.46) |
2.84 ↓
(4.57) |
7.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Libertad will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 1.
- Recent form of Libertad has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sportivo Trinidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Sportivo Trinidense has had a series of home games.
- Libertad is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:18. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Libertad Asuncion has won 6 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Libertad Asuncion?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 3 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
15.02.2026
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:0
05.10.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
0:0
26.07.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:2
17.05.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
08.03.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Libertad Asuncion
1:1
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion ✔ | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 32:13 | 19 | 43 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 34 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Ameliano | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 30 |
| 5 | Libertad Asuncion | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30:22 | 8 | 27 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 24:20 | 4 | 26 |
| 7 | Guarani | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 25:21 | 4 | 25 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 25 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 14:21 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21:28 | -7 | 19 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 16:34 | -18 | 18 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 12:41 | -29 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Olimpia Asuncion is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Copa Libertadores (Group Stage )
