Atlético Tucumán vs Aldosivi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
11/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.850.28
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
51
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
115
Passes
71% (285/402)55% (137/247)
Yellow cards
31
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.850.28
xG on target (xGOT)
1.560.86
Total shots
177
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
102
Blocked shots
24
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
31
Corner kicks
115
Touches in opposition box
249
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1810
Passes
71% (285/402)55% (137/247)
Long passes
29% (22/77)24% (18/74)
Passes in final third
57% (86/151)38% (27/71)
Crosses
34% (13/38)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.10
Throw ins
3218
Fouls
1018
Tackles
63% (5/8)75% (12/16)
Duels won
6160
Clearances
2531
Interceptions
414
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.861.56
Goals prevented
-0.140.56

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Gino F. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', 1 - 1, Franco N. , Ham E. (A),
  • 61', Franco N. , Lamendola N. ,
  • 65', Moya S. 🟨,
  • 68', Sosa A. 🟥,
  • 72', Vallejo L. 🟨,
  • 74', Palavecino A. , Guzman N. ,
  • 74', Cordero N. , Garcia M. ,
  • 78', Abeldano G. , Diaz L. ,
  • 78', Vallejo L. , Galvan I. ,
  • 78', Compagnucci G. , Segovia A. ,
  • 81', Suso G. 🟨,
  • 87', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 90', Gonzalez R. , Rolon E. ,
  • 90+2', Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlético Tucumán
49%
Draw
30.3%
Aldosivi
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.7% 28.9% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8% 27.7% 23.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.98)
    3.09
    (3.2)
    4.5
    (3.8)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlético Tucumán will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • In this match, Atlético Tucumán is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Diaz L. (Hamstring Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury) Segovia A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).
    Latest results of Atlético Tucumán
    Latest results of Aldosivi
    02.03.2026 Banfield - Aldosivi 2:0
    22.02.2026 Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi 1:0
    17.02.2026 Aldosivi - San Miguel 3:0
    12.02.2026 Tigre - Aldosivi 1:0
    07.02.2026 Aldosivi - Rosario Central 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Estudiantes L.P1163214:5921
    3Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    4Lanus1153317:14318
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9San Lorenzo1135311:12-114
    10Platense113536:7-114
    11Central Cordoba113355:12-712
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra110743:7-47
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Argentinos Jrs1155110:5520
    4Belgrano1154212:9319
    5Racing Club1153315:10518
    6Rosario Central1153312:9318
    7Tigre1145216:10617
    8Barracas Central1144310:9116
    9Huracan113539:9014
    10Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi110563:13-105
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

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